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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 20, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Knies, saved by Johansson
  4. P1 4:06Goal by Matthews (Knies, Ekman-Larsson)+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Knies · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Crozier

  5. P1 4:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Johansson
  6. P1 5:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  7. P1 6:11Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  8. P1 6:35Shot by McMann, saved by Johansson
  9. P1 7:12Shot by Timmins, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 11:15Shot by Domi, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 12:00Shot by McDonagh, saved by Woll
  12. P1 12:40Shot by Paul, saved by Woll
  13. P1 13:33Shot by Dewar, saved by Johansson
  14. P1 14:36Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 15:37Shot by McMann, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 18:11Shot by Minten, saved by Johansson
  17. P1 18:22Shot by Perbix, saved by Woll
  18. P1 18:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Woll
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:15Shot by McMann, saved by Johansson
  22. P2 0:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  23. P2 0:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  24. P2 3:22Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Woll
  25. P2 3:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Woll
  26. P2 4:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Johansson
  27. P2 4:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Woll
  28. P2 5:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Johansson
  29. P2 6:01Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll
  30. P2 8:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Johansson
  31. P2 9:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Woll
  32. P2 9:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  33. P2 10:16Shot by Holmberg, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 13:32Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Woll
  35. P2 13:45Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Lorentz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Lorentz, Kampf · TBL Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  36. P2 14:35Shot by Knies, saved by Johansson
  37. P2 15:58Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  38. P2 16:07Goal by Paul (Raddysh, Point)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, Minten · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Paul, Point, Raddysh

  39. P2 17:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  40. P2 19:37Goal by Knies (Marner, Matthews)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Knies · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Raddysh, Hagel, Geekie

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:15Holmberg: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, Holmberg, McMann · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Point, Perbix, Lilleberg

  44. P3 1:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll4v5
  45. P3 3:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Johansson
  46. P3 6:28Shot by Matthews, saved by Johansson
  47. P3 6:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  48. P3 8:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Woll
  49. P3 8:07Goal by Raddysh (Hedman, Kucherov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Knies · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh

  50. P3 9:15Shot by Holmberg, saved by Johansson
  51. P3 9:21Lilleberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix, Lilleberg

  52. P3 10:06Shot by Marner, saved by Johansson5v4
  53. P3 10:09Goal by Knies (Marner, McMann)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Marner, Matthews, McMann, Knies · TBL McDonagh, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  54. P3 10:12Shot by Kucherov, saved by Woll
  55. P3 10:26Shot by Raddysh, saved by Woll
  56. P3 11:02Kampf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Nylander, Lorentz, Kampf · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh

  57. P3 11:49Shot by Hagel, saved by Woll4v5
  58. P3 11:49Shot by Paul, saved by Woll4v5
  59. P3 11:50Shot by Cirelli, saved by Woll4v5
  60. P3 12:05Goal by Paul (Hagel, Hedman)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel

  61. P3 15:06Shot by Domi, saved by Johansson
  62. P3 15:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Johansson
  63. P3 16:16Shot by Point, saved by Woll
  64. P3 17:32Shot by Paul, saved by Woll
  65. P3 18:55Goal by Marner, unassisted5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Marner, Lorentz, Matthews, Benoit · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  66. P3 19:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Johansson
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final