Mon, Jan 20, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
52%
9%
9%
30%
TOR winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | Guentzel–Paul–Point | Girgensons–Chaffee–Geekie | Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | Atkinson–Glendening–Eyssimont | Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | Girgensons–Paul–Chaffee | Hedman–Raddysh | McDonagh–Crozier | Perbix–Lilleberg | Raddysh–Lilleberg | McDonagh–Perbix | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 5:580.22–0.23 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 1:040.16–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.03 | 1:040.00–0.08 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:570.07–0.10 | 5:010.31–0.16 | 1:420.06–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |
| Nylander–Holmberg–McMann | 3:020.00–0.14 | 2:410.02–0.10 | 1:290.00–0.18 | 2:190.19–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:350.11–0.19 | 4:170.00–0.08 | 3:060.09–0.17 | ||||
| Domi–Robertson–Minten | 3:510.16–0.10 | 1:110.13–0.04 | 0:450.05–0.06 | 3:030.25–0.21 | 2:410.05–0.02 | 1:500.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar | 3:120.19–0.12 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:460.29–0.18 | 1:050.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Nylander–Kampf–McMann | 0:330.00–0.01 | 1:000.00–0.18 | 1:390.00–0.19 | 0:450.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Nylander–Lorentz–Kampf | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:530.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Domi–Nylander–Minten | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 7:550.24–0.35 | 1:250.00–0.04 | 1:090.13–0.00 | 2:440.05–0.12 | 0:530.00–0.04 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 4:590.00–0.28 | 8:020.40–0.19 | 2:350.00–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.04 |
| Rielly–McCabe | 2:230.09–0.00 | 3:380.00–0.11 | 1:340.00–0.13 | 1:570.00–0.14 | 1:520.14–0.00 | 2:260.06–0.14 | 6:560.18–0.31 | 4:050.02–0.02 | 3:120.15–0.19 | 0:510.01–0.05 | ||
| Timmins–Benoit | 1:360.02–0.01 | 3:430.20–0.15 | 2:220.18–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 4:000.34–0.10 | 2:530.00–0.09 | 3:370.06–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 1:090.06–0.02 | 0:440.09–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:520.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 0:420.00–0.12 | 1:150.00–0.18 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 29 | 25:06 | 0:52 | 2:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 33 | 24:21 | 0:44 | 2:05 | 4 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 27 | 23:47 | 0:53 | 2:25 | 6 | 5 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 31 | 23:37 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 23:21 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:04 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 4 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 28 | 22:57 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 6 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 31 | 22:45 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 22:13 | 0:51 | 2:11 | 3 | 5 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 29 | 21:56 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 William NylanderTOR | 26 | 20:55 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 6 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 20:45 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 20:43 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 20:26 | 0:58 | 1:57 | 4 | 0 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 20 | 19:53 | 1:00 | 2:25 | 6 | 0 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 25 | 19:49 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 2 | 3 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 21 | 19:05 | 0:55 | 1:19 | 8 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 24 | 18:24 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 23 | 18:11 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 24 | 15:29 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 20 | 14:07 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 21 | 13:59 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 1 | 4 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 17 | 13:32 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 18 | 13:08 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 16 | 12:57 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 2 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 17 | 11:21 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Fraser MintenTOR | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 17 | 10:45 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 14 | 10:23 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 13 | 8:56 | 0:41 | 0:52 | 1 | 1 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 15 | 8:28 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 0 | 4 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 14 | 8:21 | 0:36 | 0:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 12 | 7:57 | 0:40 | 0:50 | 1 | 0 |
 Cam AtkinsonTBL | 10 | 6:59 | 0:42 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 10 | 5:10 | 0:31 | 0:43 | 0 | 2 |