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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 25, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:34Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg
  3. P1 3:46Goal by McMann (Marner, Ekman-Larsson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Perron, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, McMann

  4. P1 4:02Shot by Gaudette, saved by Woll
  5. P1 4:37McCabe: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Highmore, Chabot, Gaudette, Stützle, Ostapchuk · TOR Reaves, Rielly, McCabe, Minten, Quillan

  6. P1 4:42Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll5v4
  7. P1 5:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll5v4
  8. P1 5:29Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll5v4
  9. P1 7:41Shot by Cousins, saved by Woll
  10. P1 8:42Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 8:44Domi: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Hamonic, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg

  12. P1 8:44Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Perron, Hamonic, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg

  13. P1 9:37Holmberg: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Holmberg

  14. P1 9:49Shot by Sanderson, saved by Woll4v3
  15. P1 10:43Goal by Stützle (Sanderson, Giroux)4v3+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Kampf

  16. P1 12:32Shot by Holmberg, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 15:20Shot by Lorentz, saved by Forsberg
  18. P1 15:56Shot by Amadio, saved by Woll
  19. P1 16:30Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll
  20. P1 16:38Shot by Kleven, saved by Woll
  21. P1 17:07Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 18:47Shot by Amadio, saved by Woll
  23. P1 19:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:39Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg
  27. P2 1:03Shot by Holmberg, saved by Forsberg
  28. P2 3:28Greig: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Myers, Matthews, McMann

  29. P2 3:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg4v5
  30. P2 5:54Shot by Batherson, saved by Woll
  31. P2 6:16Shot by Marner, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 7:56Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 8:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 10:12Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll
  35. P2 11:35Shot by Hamonic, saved by Woll
  36. P2 11:48Shot by Hamonic, saved by Woll
  37. P2 14:18Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg
  38. P2 14:55Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg
  39. P2 14:59Shot by Benoit, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 15:32Shot by Myers, saved by Forsberg
  41. P2 15:40Shot by Giroux, saved by Woll
  42. P2 17:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 17:42Shot by Myers, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:46Shot by Domi, saved by Forsberg
  47. P3 1:36Shot by Stützle, saved by Woll
  48. P3 3:18Shot by McCabe, saved by Forsberg
  49. P3 3:19Shot by Kampf, saved by Forsberg
  50. P3 3:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Woll
  51. P3 4:46Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Woll
  52. P3 6:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Forsberg
  53. P3 9:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Forsberg
  54. P3 10:47Goal by Pinto (Highmore, Chabot)+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Highmore, Chabot, Pinto, Zub · TOR Marner, Myers, Matthews, Benoit, McMann

  55. P3 11:17Shot by Robertson, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 14:06Shot by Pinto, saved by Woll
  57. P3 15:11Shot by Domi, saved by Forsberg
  58. P3 15:12Shot by Domi, saved by Forsberg
  59. P3 15:28Shot by Lorentz, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 16:41Shot by Sanderson, saved by Woll
  61. P3 18:03Shot by McCabe, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 19:55Shot by McMann, saved by Forsberg5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final5v6