Sat, Jan 25, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
35%
11%
9%
46%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Marner–Matthews–McMann | Domi–Nylander–Holmberg | Lorentz–Kampf–Robertson | Nylander–Kampf–Robertson | Reaves–Minten–Quillan | Domi–Lorentz–Holmberg | Rielly–McCabe | Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | Myers–Benoit | Rielly–Myers | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | McCabe–Benoit | Tanev–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giroux–Batherson–Ostapchuk | 2:490.03–0.14 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.50 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 2:330.03–0.25 | 1:230.06–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.45 | ||||||
| Perron–Tkachuk–Stützle | 1:050.00–0.19 | 3:170.12–0.09 | 1:140.03–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.08 | 2:400.01–0.21 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:510.19–0.00 | |||||||
| Amadio–Highmore–Pinto | 4:310.13–0.00 | 3:150.03–0.02 | 2:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Giroux–Batherson–Greig | 1:180.00–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:280.16–0.00 | 1:360.16–0.16 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 1:380.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Amadio–Pinto–Greig | 2:370.04–0.00 | 1:460.04–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Tkachuk–Greig–Stützle | 2:150.00–0.05 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||
| Highmore–Gaudette–Ostapchuk | 1:280.08–0.03 | 0:580.00–0.03 | 0:350.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:340.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Amadio–Tkachuk–Pinto | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Amadio–Highmore–Ostapchuk | 1:000.04–0.11 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Gaudette–Greig–Ostapchuk | 1:060.00–0.24 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hamonic–Chabot | 3:040.00–0.28 | 5:230.19–0.32 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 2:410.00–0.05 | 1:350.27–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 5:380.27–0.24 | 5:580.10–0.18 | 2:020.00–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.23 | 0:350.04–0.00 | ||
| Sanderson–Zub | 8:430.03–0.16 | 0:580.00–0.02 | 1:360.08–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.05 | 5:470.04–0.00 | 4:210.00–0.00 | 3:020.08–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.16 | 0:520.02–0.00 | 0:360.15–0.00 | 1:010.21–0.00 | ||||
| Kleven–Matinpalo | 1:340.00–0.19 | 1:560.00–0.06 | 3:090.03–0.27 | 0:300.11–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.35 | 2:220.11–0.32 | 2:410.00–0.25 | 2:190.06–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.35 | |||||
| Kleven–Zub | 1:000.00–0.15 | 1:060.00–0.15 | |||||||||||||
| Chabot–Zub | |||||||||||||||
| Hamonic–Sanderson | 0:420.08–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 23:49 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 27 | 23:47 | 0:53 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 29 | 23:44 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 29 | 23:38 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 3 | 5 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 33 | 23:38 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 3 | 6 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 29 | 22:47 | 0:47 | 1:46 | 4 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 31 | 22:40 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 22:34 | 0:56 | 2:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 30 | 22:28 | 0:45 | 2:03 | 3 | 5 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 30 | 22:08 | 0:44 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 27 | 20:34 | 0:46 | 2:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 26 | 20:12 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 32 | 19:53 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 2 | 7 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 3 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 27 | 19:14 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 3 | 1 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 26 | 19:12 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 2 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 18:17 | 0:39 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 17:34 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 5 | 6 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 23 | 17:24 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 David KampfTOR | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Max DomiTOR | 24 | 16:01 | 0:40 | 1:25 | 6 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Matthew HighmoreOTT | 24 | 15:38 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 19 | 15:38 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 22 | 13:50 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 20 | 13:39 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 19 | 12:47 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 20 | 12:33 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 12:05 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 18 | 11:24 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 David PerronOTT | 18 | 9:52 | 0:33 | 0:59 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 7 | 6:01 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 0 | 0 |
 Fraser MintenTOR | 7 | 5:43 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 7 | 5:21 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 7 | 5:21 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 2 | 1:20 | 0:40 | 0:44 | 0 | 0 |