Sat, Jan 25, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
35%
11%
9%
46%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:49 | 0.02 | 49.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:38 | 0.16 | 83.0% | +14.3 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:47 | 0.09 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:40 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22:34 | 0.15 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.17 | 62.2% | +14.3 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:34 | 0.58 | 64.7% | +14.3 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.23 | 61.0% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.34 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.31 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.01 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.16 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:33 | 0.05 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.20 | 81.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:01 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Fraser MintenC · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:43 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.24 | +0.2 | 58:53 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:47 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:44 | 0.00 | 51.7% | +29.9 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.17 | 69.0% | +15.6 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.17 | 41.7% | 0.0 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.26 | 69.0% | +29.9 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.30 | 29.8% | 0.0 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.13 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:12 | 0.12 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.41 | 56.0% | +15.6 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.16 | 24.1% | +15.6 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Matthew HighmoreC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.00 | 47.7% | +29.9 |
 Zack OstapchukC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.12 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.03 | 15.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.04 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.07 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Adam GaudetteRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:21 | 0.15 | 41.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick CousinsC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:20 | 0.11 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Anton Forsberg#31 | W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.51 | +1.5 | 59:31 |