Tue, Jan 28, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Washington Capitals 3, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 59% of the time.
32%
9%
8%
51%
CGY winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:50 | 0.00 | 46.0% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:20 | 0.14 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.02 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.09 | 47.3% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.15 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.50 | 54.7% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:25 | 0.48 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.04 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:47 | 0.28 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 60.3% | +7.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.55 | 15.0% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.11 | 59.3% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.34 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.25 | 64.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:15 | 0.15 | 55.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:52 | 0.01 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:44 | 0.26 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.07 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.13 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:04 | 0.49 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.09 | 31.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.04 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:47 | 0.69 | 53.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.22 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.08 | 58.6% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.10 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.08 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:55 | 0.12 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:17 | 0.16 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.83 | −0.2 | 56:47 |