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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 1, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 81% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Nurse, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 1:40Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll
  5. P1 3:28Shot by Nurse, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:05Shot by Kulak, saved by Woll
  7. P1 4:17Shot by Perry, saved by Woll
  8. P1 6:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  9. P1 6:32Goal by Nylander (Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Draisaitl, Kapanen, McDavid, Stecher, Emberson · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander

  10. P1 7:04Shot by Klingberg, saved by Woll
  11. P1 7:22Shot by Nurse, saved by Woll
  12. P1 8:15Nugent-Hopkins: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Perry, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid, Emberson · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  13. P1 8:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner4v5
  14. P1 9:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner4v5
  15. P1 9:08Goal by Knies (Matthews, Marner)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Brown, Janmark, Nurse, Stecher · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  16. P1 11:26Podkolzin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Brown, Stecher, Emberson, Podkolzin · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit

  17. P1 11:34Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Woll4v5
  18. P1 12:34Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Skinner4v5
  19. P1 12:35Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Skinner4v5
  20. P1 12:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Skinner4v5
  21. P1 12:50Goal by McMann (Rielly, Domi)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Brown, Janmark, Nurse, Emberson · TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, McMann

  22. P1 13:13Shot by Lorentz, saved by Skinner
  23. P1 13:13Shot by Kampf, saved by Skinner
  24. P1 14:02Ekman-Larsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Henrique, Skinner, Hyman, Nurse, McDavid · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander

  25. P1 14:09Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll5v4
  26. P1 14:14Shot by Hyman, saved by Woll5v4
  27. P1 14:57Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll5v4
  28. P1 16:27Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Woll
  29. P1 18:22Shot by Nurse, saved by Woll
  30. P1 19:01Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll
  31. P1 19:04Timmins: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Perry, Klingberg, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid · TOR Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, Knies

  32. P1 19:04Perry: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Perry, Klingberg, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid · TOR Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, Knies

  33. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 2:12Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  36. P2 3:56Benoit: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Skinner, Janmark, Nurse, Kapanen, Bouchard · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  37. P2 4:20Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 4:40Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll5v4
  39. P2 4:41Shot by Hyman, saved by Woll5v4
  40. P2 4:47Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Woll5v4
  41. P2 4:51Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll5v4
  42. P2 5:08Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll5v4
  43. P2 5:36Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll5v4
  44. P2 5:39Shot by McCabe, saved by Skinner5v4
  45. P2 9:48Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Woll
  46. P2 10:27Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  47. P2 10:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Woll
  48. P2 11:16Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll
  49. P2 11:27Goal by Bouchard (Kulak, Arvidsson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Kulak, Janmark, Arvidsson, Bouchard · TOR Domi, Timmins, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  50. P2 13:14Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll
  51. P2 15:21Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Woll
  52. P2 16:04Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  53. P2 16:19Shot by Knies, saved by Skinner
  54. P2 18:18Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll
  55. P2 18:20Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll
  56. P2 18:33Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll
  57. P2 19:12Shot by Kulak, saved by Woll
  58. P2 19:52Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:17Shot by Marner, saved by Skinner
  62. P3 0:18Goal by Marner (Matthews, Knies)+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Arvidsson, Bouchard · TOR McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  63. P3 1:03Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll
  64. P3 3:37Shot by Kulak, saved by Woll
  65. P3 5:39Shot by Skinner, saved by Woll
  66. P3 6:04Goal by Hyman (Nugent-Hopkins, Bouchard)+5 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Arvidsson, Bouchard · TOR Rielly, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit

  67. P3 6:59Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Woll
  68. P3 8:10Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll
  69. P3 8:12Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll
  70. P3 8:45Shot by Marner, saved by Skinner
  71. P3 9:10Shot by Skinner, saved by Woll
  72. P3 9:27Shot by Domi, saved by Skinner
  73. P3 11:33Goal by Perry (Kulak, Draisaitl)+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Perry, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg

  74. P3 11:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  75. P3 11:54Shot by Rielly, saved by Skinner
  76. P3 12:48Shot by Brown, saved by Woll
  77. P3 13:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  78. P3 13:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Skinner
  79. P3 14:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  80. P3 14:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  81. P3 16:08Shot by Brown, saved by Woll
  82. P3 16:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  83. P3 18:02Shot by McDavid, saved by Woll6v5
  84. P3 19:26Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll6v5
  85. P3 19:40Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Woll6v5
  86. P3 19:58Shot by Bouchard, saved by Woll6v5
  87. P3 19:59Shot by Perry, saved by Woll6v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  89. P3 0:00Final6v5