Sat, Feb 1, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 81% of the time.
74%
14%
EDM winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander | Marner–Matthews–Knies | Domi–Robertson–McMann | Lorentz–Kampf–Holmberg | Pacioretty–Nylander–Matthews | Tanev–McCabe | McCabe–Benoit | Rielly–Timmins | Tanev–Rielly | Timmins–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Rielly–McCabe | McCabe–Timmins | Tanev–Benoit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perry–Draisaitl–McDavid | 2:340.21–0.00 | 3:370.27–0.11 | 1:170.06–0.00 | 0:300.07–0.00 | 3:310.22–0.11 | 1:180.16–0.00 | 0:570.06–0.15 | 1:560.10–0.00 | 0:450.12–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.11 | 0:300.07–0.00 | |||
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–Arvidsson | 1:360.03–0.00 | 2:310.04–0.27 | 0:500.03–0.03 | 1:400.11–0.00 | 2:200.03–0.03 | 0:530.04–0.27 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 2:040.03–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | |||||
| Henrique–Skinner–Kapanen | 1:140.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:430.07–0.06 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Henrique–Brown–Podkolzin | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.20 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:180.16–0.05 | 1:110.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Skinner–Janmark–Kapanen | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:090.05–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:100.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Brown–Janmark–Podkolzin | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.03 | 0:470.08–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | 1:130.14–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:390.05–0.00 | 1:450.14–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Draisaitl–Kapanen–McDavid | 0:480.04–0.10 | 0:480.04–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kulak–Bouchard | 1:380.16–0.00 | 4:210.08–0.42 | 1:150.09–0.00 | 3:540.19–0.08 | 6:420.31–0.19 | 2:420.18–0.27 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:080.28–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | |||
| Klingberg–Nurse | 4:480.21–0.00 | 1:550.04–0.04 | 2:010.06–0.00 | 0:480.21–0.00 | 3:200.11–0.00 | 1:320.10–0.16 | 2:100.03–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 1:220.10–0.11 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 0:310.13–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | ||
| Stecher–Emberson | 1:420.00–0.10 | 1:040.00–0.01 | 2:380.05–0.27 | 1:050.00–0.10 | 1:110.00–0.15 | 1:590.05–0.05 | 1:400.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Nurse–Bouchard | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:510.03–0.03 | 1:090.10–0.03 | 0:580.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Klingberg–Kulak | ||||||||||||||
| Klingberg–Stecher | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Kulak–Stecher | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Klingberg–Bouchard | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Nurse–Emberson | 0:560.00–0.08 | |||||||||||||
| Nurse–Stecher | 0:410.11–0.00 | 0:370.11–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 35 | 30:22 | 0:52 | 2:13 | 3 | 7 |
 Evan BouchardEDM | 22 | 27:05 | 1:14 | 2:52 | 1 | 1 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 35 | 26:37 | 0:46 | 2:15 | 1 | 10 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 21 | 25:59 | 1:14 | 2:29 | 6 | 0 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 21 | 25:25 | 1:13 | 2:32 | 5 | 0 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 22:11 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 26 | 21:32 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 23 | 21:01 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 2 | 0 |
 John KlingbergEDM | 21 | 20:46 | 0:59 | 1:35 | 1 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 20:09 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 0 | 3 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 19:56 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 2 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 19:54 | 0:52 | 2:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 18 | 19:53 | 1:06 | 2:21 | 4 | 1 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 20 | 18:55 | 0:57 | 2:21 | 5 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 18:47 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Max PaciorettyTOR | 21 | 17:43 | 0:51 | 2:14 | 0 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 25 | 16:58 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 27 | 16:43 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 24 | 16:14 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Corey PerryEDM | 17 | 13:40 | 0:48 | 1:59 | 3 | 0 |
 Viktor ArvidssonEDM | 17 | 13:04 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 3 | 1 |
 Troy StecherEDM | 15 | 12:54 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 16 | 12:48 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 |
 Kasperi KapanenEDM | 13 | 12:01 | 0:55 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerEDM | 14 | 11:56 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 13 | 11:23 | 0:53 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor BrownEDM | 13 | 10:59 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 13 | 10:58 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 13 | 10:57 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 0 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 15 | 10:53 | 0:44 | 0:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 14 | 10:50 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Max DomiTOR | 13 | 10:34 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 13 | 10:26 | 0:48 | 1:10 | 3 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 13 | 9:41 | 0:45 | 0:57 | 0 | 1 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 10 | 7:49 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 9 | 5:09 | 0:34 | 0:48 | 0 | 0 |