Sat, Feb 1, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Edmonton Oilers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 81% of the time.
74%
14%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 30:22 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:37 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.05 | 25.5% | +9.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:09 | 0.37 | 38.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 19:56 | 0.40 | 50.4% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.00 | 15.6% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.27 | 54.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.56 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.01 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:14 | 0.22 | 62.0% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.21 | 43.8% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.05 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.02 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.09 | 56.1% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.15 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:09 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 4.47 | +1.5 | 59:30 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 27:05 | 0.49 | 68.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:59 | 0.48 | 66.0% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25:25 | 0.54 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:32 | 0.34 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.26 | 67.7% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.04 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:53 | 0.85 | 64.7% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:55 | 0.34 | 48.3% | +5.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:40 | 0.23 | 67.9% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.09 | 54.3% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.07 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.34 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.18 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.00 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:49 | 0.21 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 58:01 |