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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:44Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 1:58Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:11Shot by Chaffee, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 3:45Shot by Goncalves, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:15Chabot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Eyssimont · OTT Jensen, Highmore, Chabot, Batherson, Stützle

  10. P1 5:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark5v4
  11. P1 6:04Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark5v4
  12. P1 7:40Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 7:43Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 10:03Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:36Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 12:32Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 12:35Cernak: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Point, Cernak, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Jensen, Highmore, Chabot, Gaudette, Batherson

  18. P1 13:06Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  19. P1 14:05Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  20. P1 14:06Shot by Greig, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  21. P1 14:09Goal by Amadio (Greig, Perron)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg · OTT Perron, Amadio, Chabot, Gaudette, Greig

  22. P1 16:18Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 17:33Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 17:56Shot by Perbix, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 18:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:07Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 1:06Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 1:15Shot by Ostapchuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 1:28Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 1:44Goal by Glendening (Lilleberg, Perbix)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Girgensons, Perbix, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Perron, Hamonic, Batherson, Kleven, Ostapchuk

  33. P2 1:54Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 3:31Greig: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak · OTT Amadio, Highmore, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  35. P2 4:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark5v4
  36. P2 6:19Tkachuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  37. P2 7:38Goal by Kucherov (Hedman)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Highmore, Sanderson, Zub, Ostapchuk

  38. P2 8:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 9:30Goal by Giroux (Chabot, Stützle)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Raddysh, Chaffee, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Reinhardt, Stützle

  40. P2 12:24Shot by Raddysh, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 12:54Zub: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · OTT Batherson, Reinhardt, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  42. P2 13:50Shot by Goncalves, saved by Ullmark5v4
  43. P2 14:33Shot by Chaffee, saved by Ullmark5v4
  44. P2 15:00Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 15:11Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 15:34Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 16:50Shot by Greig, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 17:19Shot by Gaudette, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 18:35Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 19:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 19:16Shot by Greig, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
  55. P3 1:56Goal by Hagel, unassisted+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Raddysh, Hagel, Chaffee · OTT Perron, Hamonic, Batherson, Kleven, Stützle

  56. P3 4:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 4:32Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 4:33Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 5:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 5:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
  61. P3 8:19Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 8:29Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 9:53Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 9:56Shot by Hamonic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 10:10Shot by Hamonic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 10:12Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 10:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 10:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 10:56Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 13:04Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 14:53Shot by Goncalves, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 15:11Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 15:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 16:14McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Goncalves · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig

  75. P3 16:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  76. P3 18:25Goal by McDonagh (Hedman, Cirelli)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · OTT Perron, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Greig, Stützle

  77. P3 18:40Goal by Batherson (Sanderson, Chabot)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final5v6