Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
79%
11%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:35 | 0.06 | 12.1% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:12 | 0.05 | 22.0% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:34 | 0.00 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:00 | 0.17 | 47.3% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.09 | 66.0% | +22.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.32 | 27.3% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:56 | 0.63 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:22 | 0.38 | 42.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.05 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.40 | 58.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.07 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.11 | 35.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:43 | 0.03 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.04 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.62 | +0.6 | 57:59 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:00 | 0.82 | 67.8% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 23:48 | 0.20 | 59.5% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:13 | 0.36 | 77.3% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.41 | 80.6% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.52 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:29 | 0.40 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.88 | 81.1% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 | 0.10 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.03 | 88.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.01 | 51.9% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.06 | 47.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.37 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.27 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.04 | 34.2% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:26 | 0.24 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.11 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:50 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.39 | −0.6 | 60:00 |