Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
79%
11%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | Amadio–Highmore–Greig | Perron–Batherson–Stützle | Perron–Amadio–Stützle | Highmore–Reinhardt–Ostapchuk | Giroux–Reinhardt–Stützle | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Highmore–Batherson–Greig | Giroux–Tkachuk–Greig | Amadio–Tkachuk–Greig | Perron–Amadio–Ostapchuk | Highmore–Gaudette–Batherson | Perron–Amadio–Pinto | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Chabot | Hamonic–Kleven | Kleven–Zub | Hamonic–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 1:430.00–0.09 | 1:180.16–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 5:160.53–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.12 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Eyssimont | 2:130.20–0.01 | 1:130.07–0.00 | 1:500.17–0.14 | 1:510.29–0.01 | 0:550.02–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 0:330.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.07 | 1:100.13–0.00 | 1:590.22–0.07 | 1:560.00–0.00 | 0:320.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:230.43–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:270.11–0.00 | 1:140.14–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.00 | 0:440.43–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||
| Atkinson–Glendening–Chaffee | 0:590.08–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:190.06–0.10 | 1:160.08–0.53 | |||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:200.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont | 1:010.06–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Goncalves | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | 1:050.03–0.00 | 1:060.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 1:450.05–0.00 | 2:250.23–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 4:100.14–0.00 | 4:050.17–0.00 | 3:550.34–0.00 | 1:080.02–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.05 | ||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.09 | 1:410.16–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.07 | 1:160.11–0.00 | 1:200.10–0.00 | 6:100.79–0.07 | 4:230.09–0.47 | 2:110.04–0.00 | 0:370.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 0:320.43–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.00 | 0:590.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 4:160.14–0.00 | 4:070.04–0.01 | 1:520.12–0.61 | |||||||||||
| McDonagh–Perbix | 0:320.00–0.04 | 0:560.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:500.00–0.04 | 1:080.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Raddysh | 0:430.05–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:340.04–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.16 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 31 | 25:35 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 4 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 29 | 25:00 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 5 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 24:12 | 0:52 | 2:11 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 23:48 | 1:00 | 2:16 | 6 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 23:13 | 0:58 | 2:19 | 8 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 29 | 22:34 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 1 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 27 | 22:25 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 5 | 2 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 29 | 22:00 | 0:46 | 2:07 | 4 | 11 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 26 | 21:58 | 0:51 | 2:13 | 7 | 1 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 31 | 21:55 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 8 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 22 | 21:29 | 0:59 | 2:14 | 7 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 28 | 21:05 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 24 | 21:00 | 0:53 | 1:56 | 3 | 1 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 21 | 19:56 | 0:57 | 1:59 | 5 | 0 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 19:56 | 0:50 | 4:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 29 | 19:39 | 0:41 | 2:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 29 | 18:42 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 1 | 8 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 28 | 18:22 | 0:39 | 1:19 | 2 | 7 |
 Matthew HighmoreOTT | 25 | 16:51 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 0 | 5 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 18 | 14:43 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 3 | 2 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 7 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 17 | 14:04 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 3 | 1 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 22 | 13:59 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 21 | 13:55 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 6 | 2 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 21 | 13:02 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 12 | 12:42 | 1:04 | 2:08 | 4 | 0 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 18 | 12:27 | 0:42 | 1:59 | 2 | 3 |
 David PerronOTT | 17 | 12:17 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 18 | 11:26 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 18 | 10:29 | 0:35 | 0:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 17 | 9:43 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 14 | 9:14 | 0:40 | 0:51 | 1 | 0 |
 Cole ReinhardtOTT | 13 | 7:48 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Cam AtkinsonTBL | 9 | 6:50 | 0:46 | 1:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 5 | 2:57 | 0:35 | 0:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 3 | 1:17 | 0:26 | 0:26 | 0 | 0 |