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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:38Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 2:02Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Sheary, Raddysh, Chaffee · OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson

  5. P1 4:19Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Goncalves, saved by Forsberg
  7. P1 7:28Greig: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak, Goncalves · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  8. P1 9:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  9. P1 9:21Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg5v4
  10. P1 9:23Goal by Guentzel (Point, Kucherov)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · OTT Giroux, Highmore, Sanderson, Zub

  11. P1 9:47Shot by McDonagh, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 10:04Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 11:54Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 12:29Shot by Hagel, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 14:03Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 14:49Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 15:08Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 15:29Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:22Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:56Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg
  21. P1 19:30Shot by Goncalves, saved by Forsberg
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:03Shot by Giroux, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:15Vasilevskiy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · OTT Perron, Amadio, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  26. P2 1:25Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P2 2:39Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P2 4:21Shot by Hamonic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 5:27Goal by Amadio (Stützle, Chabot)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Point, Perbix, Goncalves, Lilleberg · OTT Amadio, Chabot, Reinhardt, Stützle, Matinpalo

  30. P2 5:41Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 6:31Shot by Cernak, saved by Forsberg
  32. P2 6:58Sanderson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Goncalves · OTT Perron, Amadio, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  33. P2 7:50Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg5v4
  34. P2 9:05Shot by Highmore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 10:14Goal by Hagel (McDonagh, Vasilevskiy)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Hedman, Guentzel, Paul, Hagel · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig

  36. P2 11:19Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 13:43Shot by Kleven, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 13:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 14:32Shot by McDonagh, saved by Forsberg
  40. P2 15:26Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 15:33Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 15:40Shot by Paul, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 17:55Shot by Goncalves, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 18:07Shot by Gaudette, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 19:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 0:46Goncalves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Cernak, Hagel, Chaffee, Lilleberg · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Greig

  50. P3 2:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  51. P3 2:51Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 3:36Shot by Point, saved by Forsberg
  53. P3 4:22Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Forsberg
  54. P3 4:26Kleven: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Hedman, Paul, Eyssimont, Perbix · OTT Hamonic, Amadio, Gaudette, Kleven, Stützle

  55. P3 4:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg5v4
  56. P3 6:49Shot by Gaudette, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 7:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Forsberg
  58. P3 8:21Shot by McDonagh, saved by Forsberg
  59. P3 9:07Shot by Highmore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 9:15Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 11:37Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 11:38Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 11:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Forsberg
  64. P3 13:34Shot by Raddysh, saved by Forsberg
  65. P3 15:01Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 15:44Goal by Point (Kucherov, Goncalves)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Goncalves · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  67. P3 16:27Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 19:08Goal by Cernak (Point)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Hagel · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Tkachuk, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle

  69. P3 19:32Shot by Glendening, saved by Forsberg
  70. P3 19:34Goal by Chaffee (Glendening, Raddysh)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Raddysh, Chaffee, Lilleberg · OTT Hamonic, Gaudette, Reinhardt, Kleven, Ostapchuk

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final