Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
TBL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:15 | 0.15 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24:32 | 0.31 | 62.7% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.06 | 55.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.14 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.31 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 19:27 | 0.33 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:32 | 0.07 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.16 | 51.1% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.14 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.05 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.02 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.26 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.01 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.02 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:35 | 0.00 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.89 | −1.1 | 57:23 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:02 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:25 | 0.17 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 22:24 | 0.14 | 62.2% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.23 | 39.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.16 | 47.0% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:54 | 0.26 | 39.1% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.28 | 68.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.18 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 18:42 | 0.74 | 51.8% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.04 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.08 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.14 | 61.1% | +8.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.07 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.09 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.06 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.08 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:28 | 0.25 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.21 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 59:49 |