Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
22%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Tkachuk–Greig | Perron–Amadio–Greig | Highmore–Batherson–Ostapchuk | Perron–Amadio–Stützle | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Gaudette–Reinhardt–Ostapchuk | Gaudette–Reinhardt–Stützle | Amadio–Reinhardt–Stützle | Amadio–Gaudette–Stützle | Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | Sanderson–Zub | Jensen–Chabot | Hamonic–Kleven | Chabot–Matinpalo | Kleven–Zub | Sanderson–Matinpalo | Jensen–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 1:070.05–0.00 | 2:010.00–0.02 | 1:210.29–0.00 | 4:060.41–0.09 | 2:200.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Guentzel–Paul–Hagel | 3:200.17–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:100.04–0.10 | 1:320.17–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Girgensons–Sheary–Chaffee | 2:480.02–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.03 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 2:220.11–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Atkinson–Glendening–Eyssimont | 1:560.07–0.13 | 0:350.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 0:580.01–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.00 | 0:520.01–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.02 | 0:380.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Sheary–Eyssimont | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Paul–Hagel–Goncalves | 0:310.06–0.05 | 0:350.14–0.00 | 0:380.14–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Sheary | 0:570.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 1:010.00–0.05 | 3:570.14–0.17 | 1:250.06–0.00 | 2:450.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.05 | 2:430.21–0.00 | 7:320.06–0.41 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.14 | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:570.10–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 2:590.04–0.14 | 2:090.00–0.03 | 3:570.20–0.13 | 1:230.10–0.21 | ||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 4:340.07–0.10 | 2:210.30–0.00 | 5:150.30–0.10 | 1:460.05–0.01 | 1:230.01–0.00 | 0:500.06–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Cernak–Lilleberg | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:410.17–0.02 | ||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Perbix | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:330.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 29 | 26:15 | 0:54 | 2:14 | 6 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 30 | 24:32 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:02 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 6 | 6 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 27 | 22:49 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 8 | 0 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 26 | 22:25 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 6 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 26 | 22:24 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 2 | 7 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 27 | 21:26 | 0:48 | 2:14 | 5 | 11 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 27 | 21:20 | 0:47 | 2:17 | 4 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 23 | 21:13 | 0:55 | 1:44 | 4 | 7 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 21:05 | 0:55 | 2:41 | 7 | 6 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 20:54 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 8 | 5 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 24 | 20:39 | 0:52 | 2:16 | 4 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 26 | 19:27 | 0:45 | 2:34 | 6 | 6 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 19:12 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 27 | 19:09 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 3 | 9 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 18:42 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 8 | 4 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 27 | 17:32 | 0:39 | 1:58 | 6 | 5 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 27 | 17:25 | 0:39 | 1:36 | 8 | 0 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 19 | 16:37 | 0:52 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Matthew HighmoreOTT | 28 | 15:11 | 0:33 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 21 | 14:29 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 3 | 2 |
 David PerronOTT | 23 | 14:19 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 5 | 0 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 21 | 14:02 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 21 | 12:54 | 0:37 | 1:12 | 5 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 17 | 11:43 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 2 | 5 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 2:01 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 17 | 11:18 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 12 | 9:52 | 0:49 | 2:03 | 1 | 2 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 12 | 9:06 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 12 | 8:28 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 3 | 3 |
 Cam AtkinsonTBL | 11 | 7:41 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Cole ReinhardtOTT | 12 | 7:29 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 10 | 5:35 | 0:34 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |