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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Seattle Kraken 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

SEA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 1:34Rielly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Mahura, Kakko, Beniers · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  4. P1 1:50Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz5v4
  5. P1 3:05Shot by McCann, saved by Stolarz5v4
  6. P1 4:34Stephens: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephens, Tanev, Mahura, Fleury, Kartye · TOR Myers, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  7. P1 5:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord4v5
  8. P1 6:44Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Daccord
  9. P1 7:23Goal by Myers (Tavares, Marner)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Montour, Dunn, Kakko, Beniers · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Myers, Benoit

  10. P1 8:51Myers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Burakovsky, Mahura, Fleury, Tolvanen · TOR Myers, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  11. P1 8:58Shot by Knies, saved by Daccord5v4
  12. P1 10:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord5v4
  13. P1 10:44Shot by Holmberg, saved by Daccord5v4
  14. P1 10:50Shot by Holmberg, saved by Daccord5v4
  15. P1 11:19Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  16. P1 11:20Shot by Stephens, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 12:06Shot by Myers, saved by Daccord
  18. P1 16:36Shot by Mahura, saved by Stolarz
  19. P1 17:06Stephenson: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Bjorkstrand, Montour, Tolvanen · TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Lorentz, Kampf

  20. P1 17:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord4v5
  21. P1 18:20Shot by Tanev, saved by Stolarz4v5
  22. P1 18:53Goal by McMann (Rielly, Domi)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Larsson, Oleksiak, Tanev, Kartye · TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, McMann

  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord4v5
  26. P2 3:21Shot by Myers, saved by Daccord
  27. P2 3:25Domi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, Bjorkstrand, McCann, Montour · TOR Nylander, Myers, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  28. P2 5:01Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz5v4
  29. P2 5:19Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz5v4
  30. P2 5:24Shot by Fleury, saved by Stolarz5v4
  31. P2 5:43Shot by Mahura, saved by Stolarz
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Beniers, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 7:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  34. P2 8:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  35. P2 10:18Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  36. P2 10:30Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 11:01Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 11:21Benoit: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Bjorkstrand, Montour, Dunn, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Marner, Myers, Benoit, McMann

  39. P2 11:21Bjorkstrand: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Bjorkstrand, Montour, Dunn, Tolvanen · TOR Tavares, Marner, Myers, Benoit, McMann

  40. P2 12:37Goal by Knies (McCabe, Matthews)+9 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Oleksiak, Stephenson, McCann, Montour, Tanev · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Knies

  41. P2 14:53Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  42. P2 16:41Shot by Holmberg, saved by Daccord
  43. P2 16:44Shot by McMann, saved by Daccord
  44. P2 17:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:55Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  48. P3 2:28Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz
  49. P3 3:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord
  50. P3 4:50Shot by Domi, saved by Daccord
  51. P3 5:43Goal by Tolvanen (Bjorkstrand, Daccord)+5 pts WP

    On ice: SEA Stephenson, Bjorkstrand, Mahura, Fleury, Tolvanen · TOR Pacioretty, Lorentz, Myers, Kampf, Benoit

  52. P3 7:39Shot by Beniers, saved by Stolarz
  53. P3 7:53Shot by McCabe, saved by Daccord
  54. P3 8:16Shot by Tolvanen, saved by Stolarz
  55. P3 8:36Shot by Holmberg, saved by Daccord
  56. P3 9:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  57. P3 9:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  58. P3 9:17Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord
  59. P3 9:59Pacioretty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SEA Stephens, Tanev, Mahura, Fleury, Kartye · TOR Pacioretty, Lorentz, Myers, Kampf, Benoit

  60. P3 10:33Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz5v4
  61. P3 12:10Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Daccord
  62. P3 12:13Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  63. P3 12:32Shot by Lorentz, saved by Daccord
  64. P3 14:19Shot by McMann, saved by Daccord
  65. P3 14:28Shot by Myers, saved by Daccord
  66. P3 15:59Shot by Stephenson, saved by Stolarz
  67. P3 16:27Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz6v5
  68. P3 16:52Matthews: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SEA Schwartz, Stephenson, McCann, Montour, Dunn, Kakko · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  69. P3 17:36Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Stolarz6v4
  70. P3 17:55Shot by Montour, saved by Stolarz6v4
  71. P3 19:47Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5