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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Seattle Kraken 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

SEA winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Nylander–MarnerDomi–Matthews–KniesHolmberg–Robertson–McMannPacioretty–Lorentz–KampfLorentz–Holmberg–McMannEkman-Larsson–RiellyTanev–McCabeMyers–BenoitRielly–Myers
Schwartz–Kakko–Beniers5:120.26–0.034:410.10–0.630:440.02–0.004:280.30–0.634:240.19–0.001:140.02–0.031:140.01–0.00
Stephenson–Bjorkstrand–Tolvanen2:360.00–0.031:550.03–0.001:240.06–0.070:450.03–0.002:080.03–0.001:430.03–0.032:470.08–0.00
Burakovsky–McCann–Wright1:020.00–0.071:210.00–0.002:010.05–0.002:240.03–0.002:380.00–0.082:420.03–0.001:330.05–0.00
Stephenson–Tanev–Tolvanen0:430.11–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.03–0.020:420.23–0.111:290.34–0.130:400.03–0.00
Stephens–Tanev–Kartye0:300.00–0.081:100.02–0.000:470.00–0.001:070.00–0.000:490.00–0.08
Larsson–Dunn4:050.03–0.184:190.04–0.061:270.07–0.000:500.00–0.002:550.17–0.194:540.09–0.032:140.07–0.081:150.01–0.00
Oleksiak–Montour5:060.30–0.032:480.00–0.740:370.02–0.001:140.00–0.004:260.11–0.583:320.21–0.101:570.00–0.160:440.00–0.00
Mahura–Fleury0:480.09–0.004:530.09–0.151:360.06–0.000:420.23–0.113:500.32–0.171:380.06–0.002:170.08–0.03
Montour–Dunn1:030.00–0.010:340.00–0.000:570.04–0.001:060.00–0.00
Larsson–Oleksiak1:120.00–0.000:520.00–0.060:570.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStephenson FTolvanen FBjorkstrand FBeniers FSchwartz FKakko FWright FBurakovsky FMcCann FStephens FTanev FKartye FLarsson DDunn DMontour DOleksiak DMahura DFleury DDaccord GDomi FKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FMarner FKampf FLorentz FHolmberg FMcMann FRobertson FPacioretty FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DMyers DStolarz G
SEATORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mitch MarnerTOR2625:080:583:3766
Vince DunnSEA2424:401:022:5763
Brandon MontourSEA2222:441:022:5743
Auston MatthewsTOR2722:410:501:5655
Chandler StephensonSEA2222:291:013:1953
Jake McCabeTOR2521:450:522:4036
Adam LarssonSEA2621:400:501:3625
Morgan RiellyTOR2621:350:501:3116
Chris TanevTOR2621:190:492:2836
Jaden SchwartzSEA2120:541:001:3473
Kaapo KakkoSEA2020:211:012:3883
Matty BeniersSEA2120:200:581:3174
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2619:220:451:3025
Jamie OleksiakSEA2118:460:541:3134
William NylanderTOR2118:430:531:4262
Matthew KniesTOR2518:400:451:2446
Jared McCannSEA1717:241:012:5732
John TavaresTOR1917:190:551:2253
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA1815:510:532:0052
Andre BurakovskySEA1815:340:521:2131
Eeli TolvanenSEA1715:170:541:4052
Philippe MyersTOR2314:210:371:4903
Simon BenoitTOR2313:590:361:4802
Shane WrightSEA1713:430:481:1841
Max DomiTOR1713:280:481:3132
Brandon TanevSEA1612:450:481:5333
Bobby McMannTOR1512:370:502:2311
Josh MahuraSEA2012:000:361:2851
Pontus HolmbergTOR1511:400:472:1121
Cale FleurySEA1911:210:361:0761
David KampfTOR1710:390:381:4406
Nick RobertsonTOR119:340:522:1510
Steven LorentzTOR159:010:361:1902
Max PaciorettyTOR148:090:351:0002
Mitchell StephensSEA127:390:381:0713
Tye KartyeSEA84:440:360:4511