Fri, Feb 7, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
24%
10%
9%
57%
NYR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:30 | 0.12 | 41.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.02 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.43 | 45.2% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.13 | 51.3% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.04 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.02 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.17 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.46 | 74.2% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 16.9% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:38 | 0.26 | 52.6% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.01 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:29 | 0.03 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.01 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.49 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.16 | 27.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.13 | 52.9% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.25 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 2:28 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.87 | −0.1 | 59:54 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:27 | 0.23 | 75.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.05 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:44 | 0.00 | 58.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.10 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.13 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.34 | 45.5% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.22 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.06 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.05 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.05 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.17 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.11 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.11 | 65.6% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.13 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:34 | 0.10 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.72 | −0.3 | 57:26 |