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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 22, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 8, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Away

Washington Capitals

8

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:08Shot by McMichael, saved by Nedeljkovic
  3. P1 3:21Shot by Protas, saved by Nedeljkovic
  4. P1 5:13Goal by Frank (Mangiapane, Sandin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Nieto, Lizotte, Tomasino · WSH Eller, Carlson, Mangiapane, Sandin, Frank

  5. P1 6:50Desharnais: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Graves, Bunting, Desharnais, Glass · WSH Roy, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  6. P1 6:50Dubois: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Graves, Bunting, Desharnais, Glass · WSH Roy, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas

  7. P1 7:43Shot by Protas, saved by Nedeljkovic4v4
  8. P1 8:05Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Thompson4v4
  9. P1 10:37Shot by Letang, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 11:06Shot by Dowd, saved by Nedeljkovic
  11. P1 14:15Shot by Glass, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 14:28Shot by Glass, saved by Thompson
  13. P1 14:29Shot by Bunting, saved by Thompson
  14. P1 14:30Shot by Bunting, saved by Thompson
  15. P1 14:36Eller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Bunting, Glass · WSH Eller, Mangiapane, Roy, Fehérváry, Frank

  16. P1 14:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Thompson5v4
  17. P1 16:29Shot by Crosby, saved by Thompson5v4
  18. P1 17:04Chychrun: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Heinen, Glass, Joseph · WSH Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael, Protas

  19. P1 18:21Goal by Letang (Malkin, Tomasino)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Grzelcyk, Heinen, Tomasino · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Roy, Protas

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thompson
  23. P2 1:10Goal by Fehérváry (Duhaime, Raddysh)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Bunting, Glass, Joseph · WSH Dowd, Roy, Raddysh, Duhaime, Fehérváry

  24. P2 1:25Shot by Nieto, saved by Thompson
  25. P2 2:51Shot by Frank, saved by Nedeljkovic
  26. P2 4:24Shot by Malkin, saved by Thompson
  27. P2 4:26Shot by Bunting, saved by Thompson
  28. P2 4:45Shot by Hayes, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 6:01Shot by Rakell, saved by Thompson
  30. P2 6:19Shot by Rakell, saved by Thompson
  31. P2 6:36Goal by Crosby (Rakell, Karlsson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Beauvillier · WSH Dowd, Roy, Raddysh, Fehérváry, McMichael

  32. P2 6:47Shot by McMichael, saved by Nedeljkovic
  33. P2 7:19Shot by Chychrun, saved by Nedeljkovic
  34. P2 8:46Shot by Hayes, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 8:47Shot by Hayes, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 10:38Goal by Chychrun (Dubois, McMichael)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Nieto, Graves, Acciari, Desharnais, Lizotte · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael

  37. P2 10:46Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by Thompson
  38. P2 13:25Shot by Chychrun, saved by Nedeljkovic
  39. P2 14:17Goal by Chychrun (Dubois, van Riemsdyk)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Beauvillier · WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael

  40. P2 14:25Goal by Protas (Sandin, Carlson)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Nieto, Graves, Acciari, Desharnais, Lizotte · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas

  41. P2 17:15Shot by Dowd, saved by Blomqvist
  42. P2 18:05Goal by Wilson (Fehérváry, Roy)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Bunting · WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael

  43. P2 19:35Shot by Chychrun, saved by Blomqvist
  44. P2 19:57Shot by Chychrun, saved by Blomqvist
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:10Shot by Rakell, saved by Thompson
  48. P3 0:49Shot by Strome, saved by Blomqvist
  49. P3 0:53Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Blomqvist
  50. P3 1:21Shot by Malkin, saved by Thompson
  51. P3 1:32Shot by Karlsson, saved by Thompson
  52. P3 2:26Desharnais: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Hayes, Graves, Heinen, Desharnais, Tomasino · WSH Ovechkin, Eller, van Riemsdyk, Mangiapane, Chychrun, Frank

  53. P3 2:43Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Blomqvist4v5
  54. P3 2:59Letang: High sticking double minor (4 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Letang, Glass, Joseph, Lizotte · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Dubois

  55. P3 3:17Shot by Dubois, saved by Blomqvist3v5
  56. P3 4:26Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Blomqvist4v5
  57. P3 5:25Shot by McMichael, saved by Blomqvist4v5
  58. P3 5:33Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Blomqvist4v5
  59. P3 6:00Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Blomqvist4v5
  60. P3 8:04Shot by Strome, saved by Blomqvist
  61. P3 10:31Shot by Tomasino, saved by Thompson
  62. P3 10:53Shot by Carlson, saved by Blomqvist
  63. P3 11:47Shot by Letang, saved by Thompson
  64. P3 12:16Malkin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Bunting, Glass · WSH Carlson, Dowd, Raddysh, Duhaime, Sandin

  65. P3 13:11Goal by Strome (Raddysh, Dubois)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Nieto, Graves, Acciari, Desharnais · WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Raddysh, Dubois

  66. P3 13:57Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Thompson
  67. P3 14:19Shot by Tomasino, saved by Thompson
  68. P3 14:22Goal by Heinen (Tomasino, Hayes)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Hayes, Heinen, Joseph, Tomasino · WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Duhaime, Protas

  69. P3 16:55Shot by Joseph, saved by Thompson
  70. P3 17:19Goal by Duhaime (Roy)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Beauvillier, Joseph · WSH van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Raddysh, Duhaime, McMichael

  71. P3 17:43Shot by Acciari, saved by Thompson
  72. P3 18:12Shot by Heinen, saved by Thompson
  73. P3 18:13Shot by Heinen, saved by Thompson
  74. P3 19:12Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Blomqvist
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final