Sat, Feb 22, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 8, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
38%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:42 | 0.01 | 33.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.36 | 40.8% | +8.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:29 | 0.36 | 67.6% | +40.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.04 | 48.5% | +23.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.12 | 27.0% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.17 | 40.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:00 | 0.59 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.03 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.17 | 38.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.15 | 23.3% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.03 | 35.3% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.22 | 28.4% | +40.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:56 | 0.21 | 37.8% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.06 | 57.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:43 | 0.30 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.26 | 74.3% | +2.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.13 | 61.6% | +20.1 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.48 | +0.5 | 59:56 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.04 | 70.6% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.01 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.22 | 34.6% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.32 | 37.7% | +22.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.24 | 35.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.59 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.18 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.39 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:50 | 0.78 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.10 | 63.4% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.17 | 75.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.02 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.04 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:48 | 0.35 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 2.06 | −0.9 | 25:35 | |
| L | 13 | 8 | 5 | .615 | 1.16 | −3.8 | 34:25 |