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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 22, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Washington Capitals 8, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 55% of the time.

PIT winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Eller–Mangiapane–FrankDowd–Raddysh–DuhaimeOvechkin–Strome–ProtasDubois–McMichael–ProtasOvechkin–Wilson–StromeWilson–Dubois–McMichaelRaddysh–Dubois–McMichaelRoy–FehérváryCarlson–Sandinvan Riemsdyk–ChychrunRoy–ChychrunRoy–Sandinvan Riemsdyk–Sandinvan Riemsdyk–FehérváryCarlson–FehérváryCarlson–Chychrun
Crosby–Rakell–Beauvillier2:150.12–0.022:220.04–0.151:210.02–0.242:540.03–0.000:570.08–0.033:380.20–0.242:440.11–0.132:520.00–0.191:580.02–0.020:340.00–0.00
Hayes–Heinen–Tomasino5:300.00–0.231:460.01–0.081:020.24–0.000:460.10–0.000:520.24–0.002:320.00–0.052:420.11–0.072:380.25–0.131:250.00–0.061:130.25–0.030:410.00–0.00
Nieto–Acciari–Lizotte2:070.01–0.021:220.04–0.010:340.01–0.062:170.02–0.030:300.00–0.100:340.00–0.003:490.04–0.102:020.02–0.100:540.00–0.020:430.00–0.00
Malkin–Bunting–Glass1:410.54–0.001:210.08–0.283:080.27–0.000:410.00–0.001:100.00–0.054:201.24–0.101:010.00–0.002:330.01–0.23
Crosby–Rakell–Bunting0:350.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Letang–Joseph3:080.00–0.004:450.12–0.392:000.00–0.241:160.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:400.09–0.050:310.00–0.004:430.07–0.403:240.13–0.003:450.24–0.383:050.02–0.061:180.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Karlsson–Grzelcyk5:210.67–0.101:550.05–0.012:330.29–0.001:450.03–0.001:080.00–0.150:410.24–0.004:370.78–0.124:420.07–0.112:440.02–0.030:590.00–0.060:350.24–0.000:390.24–0.02
Graves–Desharnais3:400.00–0.182:000.26–0.061:450.45–0.002:040.02–0.000:300.00–0.102:360.58–0.003:000.10–0.183:210.02–0.230:530.00–0.020:500.01–0.03
Grzelcyk–Joseph0:370.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRakell FBeauvillier FCrosby FMalkin FGlass FBunting FHayes FTomasino FHeinen FAcciari FLizotte FNieto FGrzelcyk DKarlsson DLetang DJoseph DGraves DDesharnais DNedeljkovic GBlomqvist GProtas FMcMichael FDubois FOvechkin FStrome FWilson FMangiapane FEller FFrank FDowd FRaddysh FDuhaime FSandin DCarlson DFehérváry DRoy DChychrun Dvan Riemsdyk DThompson G
PITWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT2622:200:522:3862
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2522:130:532:0243
Kris LetangPIT2521:440:521:5544
Matt RoyWSH2221:420:591:4814
John CarlsonWSH2121:051:002:1433
Jakob ChychrunWSH2120:290:591:4833
Rickard RakellPIT2320:140:531:5450
Sidney CrosbyPIT2219:590:551:5450
Matt GrzelcykPIT2719:030:421:0352
Rasmus SandinWSH2018:510:572:4232
Martin FehérváryWSH1918:511:003:3213
Andrew MangiapaneWSH1718:201:052:3040
Kevin HayesPIT2018:060:542:0561
Alex OvechkinWSH1818:001:004:4330
Ryan GravesPIT1916:430:531:5705
Lars EllerWSH1916:390:531:5540
Anthony BeauvillierPIT2116:060:461:5642
Ethen FrankWSH1716:000:561:5530
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2015:200:461:1523
Connor McMichaelWSH1915:120:482:1812
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH1915:110:481:0424
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH2014:580:452:1523
Vincent DesharnaisPIT2014:220:431:1204
Danton HeinenPIT1914:150:452:0650
Dylan StromeWSH1913:560:441:1642
Michael BuntingPIT1813:500:462:3841
Philip TomasinoPIT1713:370:482:1340
Taylor RaddyshWSH1913:200:421:2816
Evgeni MalkinPIT1912:450:401:0442
Nic DowdWSH1812:430:421:5419
Matt NietoPIT1712:270:441:3307
Noel AcciariPIT1812:220:411:3408
Tom WilsonWSH1612:170:462:1822
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1811:530:401:5428
Cody GlassPIT2110:480:310:5644
Blake LizottePIT1610:110:381:0205