Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 95% of the time.
93%
CAR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 25:38 | 0.05 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:52 | 0.04 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.03 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.22 | 25.6% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.24 | 20.2% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:39 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.13 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 17:35 | 0.47 | 43.9% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.31 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.01 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.02 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 1.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.04 | 4.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.00 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.00 | 2.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:47 | 0.00 | 7.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 0.94 | −1.1 | 7:57 | |
| L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.64 | +1.6 | 50:57 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 24:23 | 0.15 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 21:45 | 0.06 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.17 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:57 | 0.58 | 69.8% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.21 | 70.1% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.09 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:37 | 0.36 | 72.0% | +17.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.31 | 70.8% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 84.9% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.24 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:36 | 0.93 | 66.1% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.07 | 75.3% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.54 | 72.6% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.12 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:53 | 0.62 | 86.0% | +6.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:35 | 0.41 | 84.8% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.40 | 97.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.10 | 80.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 15 | 13 | 2 | .867 | 1.55 | −0.5 | 59:52 |