Thu, Feb 27, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 95% of the time.
93%
CAR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tuch–Greenway–Thompson | McLeod–Quinn–Peterka | Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | Thompson–Peterka–Kulich | McLeod–Krebs–Kulich | Krebs–Kulich–Benson | Tuch–McLeod–Benson | Lafferty–Malenstyn–Cozens | Krebs–Cozens–Benson | Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs | Greenway–McLeod–Krebs | Greenway–Cozens–Quinn | Tuch–McLeod–Krebs | Malenstyn–McLeod–Krebs | Lafferty–Quinn–Peterka | McLeod–Krebs–Quinn | Dahlin–Byram | Samuelsson–Power | Gilbert–Jokiharju | Jokiharju–Power | Gilbert–Samuelsson | Byram–Power | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Jokiharju–Samuelsson | Gilbert–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rantanen–Aho–Svechnikov | 0:570.00–0.21 | 1:360.28–0.09 | 2:130.26–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 2:010.33–0.00 | 1:400.05–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:000.26–0.00 | 4:190.15–0.43 | 3:020.54–0.09 | 1:450.15–0.00 | 1:080.07–0.00 | 0:460.05–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:350.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Roslovic–Robinson–Kotkaniemi | 1:060.00–0.08 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:510.16–0.06 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:280.41–0.00 | 1:030.25–0.00 | 1:330.12–0.06 | 1:420.08–0.00 | 2:530.04–0.00 | 1:570.25–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Staal–Martinook–Jarvis | 4:200.02–0.15 | 2:100.19–0.05 | 3:360.12–0.03 | 2:520.00–0.17 | 0:540.22–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 0:420.08–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hall–Jost–Blake | 1:320.16–0.00 | 1:410.30–0.00 | 2:410.53–0.01 | 1:530.10–0.00 | 1:250.06–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Orlov–Chatfield | 1:090.00–0.21 | 3:150.30–0.09 | 2:060.26–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:070.33–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 5:010.15–0.37 | 3:530.45–0.09 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:250.32–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:460.09–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Burns–Slavin | 4:270.02–0.15 | 0:540.00–0.17 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:180.19–0.05 | 1:570.16–0.06 | 0:550.13–0.00 | 6:470.37–0.09 | 3:080.00–0.17 | 2:320.26–0.00 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 0:410.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Gostisbehere–Walker | 0:500.02–0.00 | 1:240.05–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:130.27–0.00 | 0:410.19–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:320.15–0.00 | 2:470.39–0.08 | 1:520.08–0.00 | 2:170.17–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.07 | 1:200.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Slavin–Walker | 0:440.08–0.00 | 0:460.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Orlov–Slavin | 0:350.00–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.08 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 25:38 | 0:55 | 1:31 | 6 | 4 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 30 | 24:23 | 0:49 | 2:32 | 5 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 22:52 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 6 | 8 |
 Brent BurnsCAR | 29 | 21:45 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 21:33 | 0:50 | 1:28 | 0 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 24 | 21:11 | 0:53 | 2:05 | 6 | 2 |
 Dmitry OrlovCAR | 25 | 20:22 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 21 | 20:17 | 0:58 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 23 | 19:57 | 0:52 | 1:45 | 5 | 0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 20 | 19:19 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 5 | 0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 26 | 18:54 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 26 | 18:39 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 18:21 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 0 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Mikko RantanenCAR | 21 | 17:37 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 17:29 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 6 | 3 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 16:30 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 4 | 5 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 4 | 0 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 21 | 16:05 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 3 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 22 | 15:21 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Jack RoslovicCAR | 17 | 14:57 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 21 | 14:56 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 4 | 5 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 26 | 14:56 | 0:34 | 1:00 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 19 | 13:54 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 17 | 13:30 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 16 | 12:20 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Dennis GilbertBUF | 20 | 12:14 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 17 | 11:53 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 15 | 11:35 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 3 | 0 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 19 | 11:23 | 0:36 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 15 | 10:50 | 0:43 | 1:51 | 3 | 0 |
 Tyson JostCAR | 16 | 10:43 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 9:12 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 0 | 3 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 13 | 7:47 | 0:36 | 0:58 | 0 | 3 |