Sun, Mar 2, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
8%
44%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.00 | 39.8% | +22.6 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.09 | 50.4% | +53.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 21:14 | 0.46 | 60.9% | +70.4 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:21 | 0.05 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.22 | 56.8% | +16.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.25 | 65.5% | +65.7 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.33 | 46.1% | +44.8 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:22 | 0.60 | 61.4% | +22.6 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.09 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.07 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.10 | 68.9% | +11.9 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.07 | 58.2% | +11.9 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.13 | 56.9% | +13.8 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.26 | 49.5% | +13.8 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.17 | 54.1% | +13.8 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.00 | 2.5% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 2.74 | −2.3 | 61:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik KarlssonD · #65 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27:29 | 0.16 | 39.8% | +32.3 |
 Ryan SheaD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.04 | 59.6% | +12.8 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.03 | 78.9% | +28.2 |
 Matt GrzelcykD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.05 | 38.3% | +16.6 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20:45 | 0.47 | 44.8% | +48.9 |
 Rickard RakellRW · #67 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.28 | 43.8% | +44.8 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:14 | 0.31 | 45.3% | +60.6 |
 Noel AcciariC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.13 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Blake LizotteC · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.16 | 42.9% | +12.8 |
 Cody GlassC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:22 | 0.17 | 43.3% | +12.8 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.17 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.05 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.24 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Ryan GravesD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.01 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Vincent DesharnaisD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.01 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Kevin HayesRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.27 | 76.5% | 0.0 |
 Emil BemstromC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.04 | 71.3% | 0.0 |
 Danton HeinenLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:19 | 0.15 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
 Joel Blomqvist#30 | O | 33 | 27 | 6 | .818 | 2.90 | −3.1 | 61:00 |