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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 2, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–KniesTavares–Nylander–HolmbergDomi–Robertson–McMannReaves–Kampf–DewarReaves–Kampf–KniesTavares–Nylander–McMannTimmins–BenoitMcCabe–MyersEkman-Larsson–RiellyRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–McCabeMcCabe–BenoitRielly–McCabe
Crosby–Rust–Rakell12:110.59–0.570:360.08–0.004:400.51–0.151:100.00–0.003:150.16–0.462:050.00–0.021:420.09–0.00
Acciari–Glass–Lizotte0:350.00–0.0010:250.31–0.580:390.00–0.001:080.16–0.010:470.00–0.003:060.05–0.263:440.33–0.041:030.09–0.002:440.00–0.150:590.00–0.001:440.00–0.00
Malkin–Beauvillier–Tomasino0:360.00–0.001:280.00–0.006:290.43–0.611:070.05–0.003:420.05–0.612:160.13–0.003:120.31–0.002:090.04–0.000:330.00–0.00
Hayes–Heinen–Bemstrom1:030.15–0.004:130.11–0.000:420.15–0.001:360.01–0.001:330.04–0.081:080.00–0.000:530.02–0.00
Karlsson–Grzelcyk6:190.36–0.345:480.05–0.461:540.24–0.321:430.01–0.015:400.30–0.532:590.05–0.031:550.40–0.243:130.05–0.142:180.00–0.030:400.00–0.151:210.00–0.00
Letang–Shea6:010.12–0.105:180.22–0.112:360.19–0.002:550.25–0.003:440.08–0.133:340.41–0.004:440.20–0.042:110.00–0.031:440.09–0.000:530.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Graves–Desharnais0:320.00–0.134:020.16–0.281:340.02–0.000:390.08–0.002:350.22–0.282:100.01–0.001:320.01–0.211:060.00–0.00
Letang–Karlsson0:520.00–0.01
Grzelcyk–Shea0:350.00–0.12
Letang–Grzelcyk
Karlsson–Graves0:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRust FRakell FCrosby FAcciari FGlass FLizotte FMalkin FBeauvillier FTomasino FHayes FHeinen FBemstrom FShea DLetang DKarlsson DGrzelcyk DGraves DDesharnais DBlomqvist GMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FHolmberg FDomi FRobertson FMcMann FDewar FKampf FReaves FRielly DEkman-Larsson DMcCabe DMyers DBenoit DTimmins DWoll G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT3127:290:531:5163
Ryan SheaPIT2923:480:491:3132
Kris LetangPIT3023:120:461:4922
Jake McCabeTOR3122:300:441:4726
Matt GrzelcykPIT2822:240:481:3054
Morgan RiellyTOR3221:550:411:4221
Auston MatthewsTOR2721:140:471:2524
Sidney CrosbyPIT2620:450:482:1852
Rickard RakellPIT2720:240:452:1751
Philippe MyersTOR2720:210:451:5033
Mitch MarnerTOR2720:070:452:4125
Bryan RustPIT2619:140:442:2652
Noel AcciariPIT2418:520:471:2554
William NylanderTOR2418:480:471:1943
Matthew KniesTOR2518:320:441:1233
John TavaresTOR2418:220:461:3133
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3018:200:371:0213
Simon BenoitTOR2718:060:401:1815
Pontus HolmbergTOR2317:240:451:2833
Conor TimminsTOR2717:120:381:0125
Blake LizottePIT2316:440:441:1253
Cody GlassPIT2316:220:431:2053
Evgeni MalkinPIT2115:490:451:1322
Anthony BeauvillierPIT1915:180:481:3422
Philip TomasinoPIT1913:570:441:0022
Bobby McMannTOR1813:500:461:2131
Nick RobertsonTOR1812:250:410:5731
Max DomiTOR1812:180:411:0831
Ryan GravesPIT1910:560:351:0112
David KampfTOR1510:480:432:1005
Vincent DesharnaisPIT1810:430:361:2113
Kevin HayesPIT169:580:371:5240
Ryan ReavesTOR129:350:482:1002
Connor DewarTOR138:300:391:3402
Emil BemstromPIT127:460:391:0920
Danton HeinenPIT127:190:371:0230