Sun, Mar 2, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
8%
44%
PIT winsTOR wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
PIT attack the right-hand net, TOR the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
PITTOR