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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Washington Capitals

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:22Shot by Protas, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 1:21Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 1:37Shot by McMichael, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 1:39Shot by McMichael, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 1:41Goal by McMichael (Fehérváry, Dubois)+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  8. P1 1:41Perron: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  9. P1 2:04Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark5v4
  10. P1 2:20Strome: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Dubois · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub

  11. P1 2:31Shot by Jensen, saved by Thompson4v4
  12. P1 3:34Goal by Dubois (McMichael, Sandin)4v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael · OTT Norris, Batherson, Sanderson, Zub

  13. P1 3:55Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson4v5
  14. P1 4:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson4v5
  15. P1 4:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson
  16. P1 4:55Shot by Chychrun, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 5:25Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 9:20Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 10:05Batherson: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Raddysh, Duhaime, Sandin · OTT Perron, Hamonic, Norris, Batherson, Matinpalo

  20. P1 10:15Shot by Strome, saved by Ullmark5v4
  21. P1 11:05Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark5v4
  22. P1 11:14Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark5v4
  23. P1 11:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson5v4
  24. P1 12:07Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Ullmark
  25. P1 13:47Shot by Hamonic, saved by Thompson
  26. P1 13:57Eller: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Eller, Mangiapane, Roy, Fehérváry, Frank · OTT Perron, Hamonic, Norris, Batherson, Stützle, Matinpalo

  27. P1 15:22Shot by Norris, saved by Thompson4v5
  28. P1 15:32Shot by Gaudette, saved by Thompson4v5
  29. P1 16:01Shot by Chabot, saved by Thompson
  30. P1 16:11Shot by Wilson, saved by Ullmark
  31. P1 16:21Shot by Pinto, saved by Thompson
  32. P1 17:41Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark
  33. P1 19:29Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  34. P1 19:29Wilson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  35. P1 19:42Shot by Chychrun, saved by Ullmark
  36. P1 19:44Shot by McMichael, saved by Ullmark
  37. P1 19:48Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark
  38. P1 0:00Period end
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:13Ovechkin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  41. P2 0:41Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson4v5
  42. P2 0:42Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson4v5
  43. P2 0:42Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson4v5
  44. P2 0:43Shot by Greig, saved by Thompson4v5
  45. P2 1:11Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson4v5
  46. P2 1:23Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson4v5
  47. P2 3:41Shot by Gaudette, saved by Thompson
  48. P2 3:42Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson
  49. P2 3:43Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson
  50. P2 5:36Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Thompson
  51. P2 5:58Perron: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Roy, Protas · OTT Hamonic, Chabot, Gaudette, Greig, Stützle

  52. P2 6:16Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmark5v4
  53. P2 6:53Goal by Wilson (Dubois, Strome)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Dubois · OTT Giroux, Norris, Sanderson, Zub

  54. P2 8:42Shot by Roy, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 8:54Shot by Protas, saved by Ullmark
  56. P2 10:23Shot by Gregor, saved by Thompson
  57. P2 12:03Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Ullmark
  58. P2 12:18Goal by Pinto (Sanderson, Giroux)+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Sandin, Protas · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  59. P2 13:55Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ullmark
  60. P2 13:58Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Ullmark
  61. P2 14:10Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  62. P2 14:55Jensen: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Raddysh · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Gregor, Pinto

  63. P2 15:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  64. P2 15:42Shot by Zub, saved by Thompson5v4
  65. P2 16:39Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  66. P2 18:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Ullmark
  67. P2 19:24Shot by Roy, saved by Ullmark
  68. P2 19:38Raddysh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Raddysh, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael · OTT Jensen, Highmore, Gregor, Norris, Zub

  69. P2 19:47Shot by Sanderson, saved by Thompson4v5
  70. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  71. P3 0:00Period start
  72. P3 1:05Goal by Giroux (Sanderson, Stützle)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry · OTT Giroux, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  73. P3 1:34Shot by Chabot, saved by Thompson
  74. P3 1:50Shot by McMichael, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 5:26Shot by Dowd, saved by Ullmark
  76. P3 8:01Goal by Pinto (Amadio, Chabot)+28 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Eller, van Riemsdyk, Raddysh, Duhaime, Fehérváry · OTT Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig, Zub

  77. P3 10:08Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 10:29Protas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  79. P3 10:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Thompson4v5
  80. P3 11:25Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompson4v5
  81. P3 12:43Goal by Fehérváry (Wilson, Protas)+31 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Chychrun, Fehérváry, McMichael, Protas · OTT Amadio, Chabot, Gregor, Stützle, Zub

  82. P3 14:49Shot by Perron, saved by Thompson
  83. P3 15:28Shot by Protas, saved by Ullmark
  84. P3 16:07Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  85. P3 16:19Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  86. P3 16:20Shot by Duhaime, saved by Ullmark
  87. P3 18:23Dubois: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael · OTT Giroux, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  88. P3 18:37Shot by Sanderson, saved by Thompson4v6
  89. P3 18:49Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompson4v6
  90. P3 18:52Goal by Tkachuk (Stützle, Sanderson)4v6+38 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Wilson, Fehérváry · OTT Giroux, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  91. P3 19:42Shot by Eller, saved by Ullmark
  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. OT 0:00Period start
  94. OT 1:49Ovechkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)3v3

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Strome, Dubois · OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson

  95. OT 2:02Shot by Sanderson, saved by Thompson3v4
  96. OT 2:19Shot by Batherson, saved by Thompson3v4
  97. OT 3:09Shot by Batherson, saved by Thompson3v4
  98. OT 4:43Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmark4v4
  99. OT 5:00Period end4v4
  100. SO Period start
  101. SO Shot by Dubois, saved by Ullmarkother
  102. SO Shot by Batherson, saved by Thompsonother
  103. SO Shot by Carlson, saved by Ullmarkother
  104. SO Shot by Stützle, saved by Thompsonother
  105. SO Goal by Strome, unassistedother
  106. SO Shot by Giroux, saved by Thompsonother
  107. SO Period endother
  108. SO Finalother