Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
29%
58%
WSH winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Perron–Norris–Batherson | Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | Amadio–Pinto–Greig | Highmore–Gaudette–Gregor | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Giroux–Pinto–Greig | Amadio–Gregor–Pinto | Batherson–Tkachuk–Pinto | Norris–Batherson–Greig | Jensen–Chabot | Sanderson–Zub | Hamonic–Matinpalo | Chabot–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:580.20–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:330.15–0.01 | 1:200.05–0.00 | 3:370.28–0.01 | 2:410.13–0.03 | |||||||
| Eller–Mangiapane–Frank | 1:450.00–0.07 | 1:100.00–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.02 | 0:470.11–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.05 | 2:460.00–0.08 | 2:550.15–0.04 | |||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 1:550.09–0.13 | 3:040.53–0.26 | 0:380.00–0.05 | 2:130.62–0.27 | 3:000.00–0.17 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:150.17–0.00 | 2:340.15–0.07 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 2:020.04–0.07 | 2:550.28–0.07 | ||||||||
| Eller–Wilson–Protas | 1:100.12–0.08 | 1:100.12–0.08 | |||||||||||
| Strome–Raddysh–Dubois | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.28 | ||||||||||
| Eller–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:300.23–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 1:240.12–0.03 | 3:060.01–0.26 | 1:480.00–0.01 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 0:520.06–0.08 | 4:030.12–0.35 | 2:240.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.03 | 1:210.06–0.08 | ||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 1:010.17–0.12 | 2:200.27–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.02 | 1:060.29–0.00 | 1:420.15–0.00 | 3:350.28–0.40 | 3:320.32–0.02 | ||||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 1:160.07–0.00 | 1:250.04–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.12 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 3:040.10–0.02 | 2:030.00–0.12 | 0:420.07–0.00 | |||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 0:530.10–0.08 | 0:390.05–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:020.10–0.08 | 1:220.05–0.28 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 1:110.09–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 0:340.18–0.00 | 1:410.09–0.10 | 0:380.18–0.00 | ||||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:370.34–0.00 | |||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:490.05–0.01 | 0:540.05–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 33 | 31:49 | 0:58 | 2:04 | 6 | 7 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 32 | 25:30 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 8 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 25:11 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 6 | 1 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 25 | 25:05 | 1:00 | 2:18 | 7 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 27 | 23:12 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 7 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 27 | 22:22 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 6 | 5 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 22 | 21:37 | 0:59 | 2:12 | 0 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 26 | 21:13 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 8 | 3 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 21:09 | 1:00 | 2:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 21:00 | 0:57 | 1:50 | 1 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 29 | 20:39 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 5 | 7 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 24 | 20:14 | 0:51 | 2:12 | 5 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 29 | 20:08 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 8 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 25 | 19:42 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 6 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 25 | 18:13 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 5 | 6 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 27 | 18:04 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 2 | 13 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 31 | 18:03 | 0:35 | 1:16 | 7 | 6 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 24 | 17:26 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 16:50 | 0:51 | 2:24 | 6 | 0 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 16:44 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 17 | 16:43 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 1 | 4 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 23 | 16:28 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 4 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 23 | 15:42 | 0:41 | 1:39 | 2 | 9 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 23 | 15:07 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 20 | 14:36 | 0:44 | 1:50 | 6 | 1 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 6 |
 David PerronOTT | 21 | 13:32 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 5 | 2 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 18 | 12:46 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 1 | 6 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 20 | 11:50 | 0:36 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 20 | 11:35 | 0:35 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 21 | 11:31 | 0:33 | 1:06 | 6 | 3 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 13 | 10:44 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 11 | 9:58 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 11 | 7:53 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Noah GregorOTT | 14 | 7:18 | 0:31 | 0:58 | 3 | 3 |
 Matthew HighmoreOTT | 13 | 5:11 | 0:24 | 0:46 | 2 | 3 |