Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.
29%
58%
WSH winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 31:49 | 0.26 | 44.2% | +57.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:30 | 0.41 | 34.1% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 6 | 25:11 | 1.20 | 33.5% | +51.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:12 | 0.69 | 28.0% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:22 | 0.24 | 38.8% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.50 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.09 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.01 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 18:13 | 0.93 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.37 | 45.9% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.04 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.26 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.04 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.02 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 44.0% | +27.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:53 | 0.12 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:18 | 0.02 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:11 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 4.19 | +0.2 | 63:40 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:05 | 0.23 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:37 | 0.24 | 58.9% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.08 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.05 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.30 | 56.1% | +37.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 19:42 | 0.65 | 52.3% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.22 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:50 | 0.32 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 54.3% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.03 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.61 | 62.7% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.16 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 15:07 | 0.63 | 62.5% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.04 | 51.5% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 13:56 | 0.38 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:44 | 0.25 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 5.20 | +1.2 | 64:50 |