Tue, Mar 4, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Calgary Flames 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 55% of the time.
35%
10%
9%
46%
PHI winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.06 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:07 | 0.16 | 41.9% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.01 | 35.5% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.01 | 44.0% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:09 | 0.49 | 38.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:46 | 0.42 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.04 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.20 | 69.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.19 | 75.9% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:09 | 0.07 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.02 | 79.9% | +14.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.23 | 62.8% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.01 | 72.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 12:06 | 0.14 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.77 | 28.4% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:14 | 0.00 | 57.8% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:58 | 0.07 | 28.2% | +10.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.60 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:43 | 0.14 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.19 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.05 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 20:15 | 0.55 | 68.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.07 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.15 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.29 | 47.1% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.13 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.16 | 82.7% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.16 | 81.7% | +9.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.12 | 80.8% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.07 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:37 | 0.37 | 60.7% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.10 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.06 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 0.51 | −2.5 | 9:32 | |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.61 | −0.4 | 48:59 |