Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 5, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Vegas Golden Knights 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.

VGK winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:03Whitecloud: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Pearson, Hanifin, Eichel, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  3. P1 0:03Knies: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: VGK Stone, Pearson, Hanifin, Eichel, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  4. P1 2:46Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  5. P1 3:40Shot by Rielly, saved by Hill
  6. P1 3:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  7. P1 4:31Shot by Saad, saved by Woll
  8. P1 4:33Goal by Hertl (Saad)+10 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Saad, Hertl, Korczak, Dorofeyev · TOR McCabe, Domi, Lorentz, Myers, Robertson

  9. P1 5:57Roy: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Stone, Pearson, Eichel, Hague · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  10. P1 6:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill4v5
  11. P1 7:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill4v5
  12. P1 7:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Hill4v5
  13. P1 8:55Shot by Lorentz, saved by Hill
  14. P1 9:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill
  15. P1 9:34Shot by Pearson, saved by Woll
  16. P1 9:36Shot by Pearson, saved by Woll
  17. P1 9:46Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hill
  18. P1 10:06Shot by McCabe, saved by Hill
  19. P1 11:03Shot by McMann, saved by Hill
  20. P1 11:18Goal by Howden (Barbashev, Kolesar)+11 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Hanifin, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  21. P1 11:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Hill
  22. P1 13:04Shot by Domi, saved by Hill
  23. P1 14:32Shot by Howden, saved by Woll
  24. P1 14:50Jarnkrok: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Barbashev, Kolesar, Howden, Hague · TOR Jarnkrok, Lorentz, Timmins, Kampf, Benoit

  25. P1 15:03Goal by Eichel (Hanifin, Dorofeyev)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Hanifin, Eichel, Dorofeyev · TOR McCabe, Marner, Kampf, Benoit

  26. P1 16:10Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  27. P1 18:17Shot by Marner, saved by Hill
  28. P1 18:43Shot by Kolesar, saved by Stolarz
  29. P1 18:59Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Hill
  30. P1 0:00Period end5v6
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:17Goal by Hanifin (Eichel, Pearson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Pearson, Hanifin, Eichel, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  33. P2 3:09Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  34. P2 3:55Shot by Holmberg, saved by Hill
  35. P2 4:14Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Olofsson, Roy, Hague, Lavoie · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Timmins, Holmberg

  36. P2 4:31Shot by Hanifin, saved by Stolarz5v4
  37. P2 4:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz5v4
  38. P2 5:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill5v4
  39. P2 5:30Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill5v4
  40. P2 8:12Shot by Pearson, saved by Stolarz
  41. P2 8:49Shot by Pearson, saved by Stolarz
  42. P2 10:26Shot by Hague, saved by Stolarz
  43. P2 10:38Pietrangelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Barbashev, Kolesar, Howden, Hague · TOR Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  44. P2 10:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill4v5
  45. P2 11:36Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz4v5
  46. P2 11:37Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz4v5
  47. P2 12:03Shot by Saad, saved by Stolarz4v5
  48. P2 13:32Shot by Pearson, saved by Stolarz
  49. P2 13:33Goal by Pearson (Korczak, Hertl)+1 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Pearson, Hertl, Korczak, Dorofeyev · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Benoit

  50. P2 13:33Robertson: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Pearson, Hertl, Korczak, Dorofeyev · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Benoit

  51. P2 14:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz5v4
  52. P2 14:47Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Stolarz5v4
  53. P2 15:00Shot by Eichel, saved by Stolarz5v4
  54. P2 16:45Kolesar: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Saad, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Rielly, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  55. P2 16:56Shot by Domi, saved by Hill4v5
  56. P2 17:41Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Stolarz4v5
  57. P2 17:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Hill4v5
  58. P2 18:01Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Nylander)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Saad, Howden, Hague, Whitecloud · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  59. P2 19:29Shot by Knies, saved by Hill
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 1:32Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  63. P3 3:52Shot by Hague, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 6:27Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Hill
  65. P3 6:59Shot by Myers, saved by Hill
  66. P3 7:17Shot by McCabe, saved by Hill
  67. P3 13:27Goal by Marner, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Barbashev, Kolesar, Howden, Hague · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Benoit, McMann

  68. P3 14:35Shot by Marner, saved by Hill
  69. P3 15:44Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Stolarz
  70. P3 16:36Ekman-Larsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Hanifin, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  71. P3 16:36Howden: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Hanifin, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  72. P3 16:36Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Hanifin, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  73. P3 16:36Howden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Barbashev, Hanifin, Kolesar, Howden, Whitecloud · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Knies

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final