Wed, Mar 5, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Vegas Golden Knights 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
26%
VGK winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Nylander–Holmberg | Marner–Matthews–Knies | Domi–Robertson–McMann | Nylander–Matthews–Knies | Jarnkrok–Domi–Holmberg | Tavares–Marner–McMann | Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Kampf | Lorentz–Kampf–Robertson | Jarnkrok–Nylander–Kampf | Marner–Matthews–McMann | Rielly–Myers | McCabe–Benoit | Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Timmins–Benoit | McCabe–Myers | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barbashev–Kolesar–Howden | 2:350.01–0.06 | 1:070.35–0.01 | 1:120.12–0.09 | 1:180.00–0.23 | 1:420.04–0.06 | 1:000.00–0.03 | 1:460.00–0.23 | 2:010.13–0.07 | 2:010.36–0.01 | 2:060.04–0.12 | ||||||
| Stone–Pearson–Eichel | 0:350.00–0.10 | 2:220.10–0.17 | 1:170.15–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.01 | 0:470.02–0.13 | 2:040.55–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.06 | 1:290.08–0.01 | 1:270.00–0.04 | 0:460.11–0.10 | |||||
| Saad–Hertl–Dorofeyev | 0:320.00–0.00 | 2:520.35–0.05 | 1:490.06–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:450.18–0.00 | 1:340.17–0.06 | 0:500.00–0.08 | 0:500.27–0.00 | ||||||||
| Olofsson–Roy–Lavoie | 1:090.00–0.11 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Pearson–Hertl–Dorofeyev | 1:090.06–0.00 | 1:360.06–0.03 | 0:400.51–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Barbashev–Olofsson–Roy | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Barbashev–Kolesar–Roy | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:530.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Stone–Saad–Eichel | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pearson–Olofsson–Roy | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hertl–Barbashev–Dorofeyev | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Pietrangelo–Hague | 3:190.00–0.21 | 1:440.00–0.10 | 0:510.04–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.02 | 3:490.06–0.38 | 0:480.04–0.01 | 1:260.00–0.05 | 2:360.04–0.23 | 3:420.00–0.08 | 1:360.02–0.06 | 1:160.04–0.01 | 2:100.11–0.16 | ||||
| McNabb–Korczak | 0:560.01–0.00 | 2:070.30–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.06 | 2:540.12–0.02 | 0:570.41–0.08 | 2:300.00–0.06 | 1:470.00–0.05 | 3:040.06–0.06 | 1:520.54–0.00 | 2:090.01–0.08 | 1:540.17–0.04 | 1:420.00–0.08 | 1:100.27–0.00 | |||
| Hanifin–Whitecloud | 2:480.44–0.18 | 3:310.27–0.06 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 4:260.14–0.16 | 2:160.15–0.03 | 0:410.12–0.00 | 2:080.42–0.01 | 1:530.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Pietrangelo–Hanifin | 0:410.00–0.06 | 1:080.50–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 1:120.50–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| McNabb–Whitecloud | 0:510.02–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:590.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hague–Whitecloud | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Hanifin–Hague |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Alex PietrangeloVGK | 29 | 23:38 | 0:49 | 2:13 | 0 | 5 |
 Noah HanifinVGK | 27 | 21:01 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 4 | 6 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 20:58 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 24 | 20:57 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 3 | 7 |
 William NylanderTOR | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 3:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Nicolas HagueVGK | 27 | 20:07 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 29 | 19:45 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 7 | 0 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 19:36 | 0:47 | 2:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 26 | 19:03 | 0:44 | 2:36 | 7 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 2:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 20 | 18:19 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 1 | 4 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 17:40 | 0:39 | 1:57 | 1 | 4 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 20 | 17:34 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 3 | 3 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 20 | 17:30 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach WhitecloudVGK | 24 | 17:23 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 7 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 20 | 17:20 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 25 | 17:16 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 2 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 25 | 16:51 | 0:40 | 1:39 | 6 | 2 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 19 | 16:41 | 0:53 | 2:19 | 6 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 16:17 | 0:44 | 2:02 | 7 | 1 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 18 | 14:55 | 0:50 | 2:09 | 6 | 1 |
 Nicolas RoyVGK | 19 | 14:54 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 2 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 20 | 14:46 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 18 | 13:42 | 0:46 | 2:04 | 3 | 2 |
 Brett HowdenVGK | 19 | 13:40 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 0 | 6 |
 Max DomiTOR | 16 | 13:32 | 0:51 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 17 | 13:29 | 0:48 | 2:07 | 0 | 4 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 18 | 13:28 | 0:45 | 1:00 | 5 | 1 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 17 | 13:27 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Victor OlofssonVGK | 18 | 12:59 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 16 | 12:58 | 0:49 | 2:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Tanner PearsonVGK | 19 | 12:42 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 9:50 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 0 | 3 |
 Raphael LavoieVGK | 7 | 5:48 | 0:50 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 |