Wed, Mar 5, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Vegas Golden Knights 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
26%
VGK winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:58 | 0.01 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.20 | 63.5% | +0.7 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:45 | 0.08 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 19:36 | 0.66 | 39.1% | +0.7 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.23 | 55.6% | +0.3 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 | 0.00 | 27.8% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.02 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.08 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:16 | 0.06 | 45.5% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.39 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.34 | 77.3% | +0.7 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.05 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.22 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.05 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.07 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.09 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.09 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:50 | 0.07 | 22.6% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | – | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 3.01 | +1.0 | 44:54 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 0.70 | −2.3 | 14:31 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Alex PietrangeloD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:38 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.18 | 75.4% | +10.9 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas HagueD · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.06 | 23.3% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.12 | 56.8% | +11.4 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 17:34 | 0.73 | 59.4% | +10.9 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.40 | 79.0% | +11.4 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.14 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.14 | 82.4% | +6.6 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.29 | 54.8% | +11.4 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.10 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SaadLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.45 | 66.7% | +10.2 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.09 | 51.6% | +11.4 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.01 | 81.3% | +1.1 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 12:42 | 0.95 | 77.6% | +5.4 |
 Raphael LavoieC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:48 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
 Adin Hill#33 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.71 | +0.7 | 60:00 |