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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 6, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Boston Bruins 2, Carolina Hurricanes 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.

CAR winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Zacha–GeekieCoyle–Lindholm–TufteBrown–Kastelic–BeecherLettieri–Koepke–PoitrasPastrnak–Geekie–PoitrasKastelic–Koepke–BeecherZadorov–CarloPeeke–LohreiWotherspoon–MitchellCarlo–WotherspoonWotherspoon–LohreiWotherspoon–PeekeZadorov–PeekeMitchell–Lohrei
Rantanen–Aho–Jarvis2:580.08–0.144:350.23–0.091:320.00–0.030:480.00–0.021:040.00–0.004:150.30–0.043:500.00–0.171:370.04–0.001:230.26–0.030:390.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov3:490.07–0.503:360.00–0.124:380.00–0.183:160.07–0.38
Hall–Kotkaniemi–Blake0:480.00–0.020:300.00–0.001:230.00–0.213:180.04–0.012:120.12–0.031:000.00–0.033:320.04–0.220:360.00–0.00
Roslovic–Jost–Robinson1:320.38–0.001:120.00–0.001:160.38–0.300:550.00–0.001:270.00–0.00
Staal–Martinook–Robinson2:010.00–0.260:590.00–0.030:490.00–0.060:330.00–0.00
Hall–Aho–Blake0:360.09–0.00
Roslovic–Jost–Svechnikov0:520.00–0.190:420.01–0.19
Gostisbehere–Chatfield0:420.00–0.111:010.00–0.041:260.38–0.192:570.02–0.012:470.38–0.041:140.00–0.312:480.02–0.01
Gostisbehere–Walker2:430.23–0.061:190.08–0.001:380.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:490.31–0.061:110.00–0.001:330.04–0.000:440.00–0.00
Burns–Slavin4:500.01–0.651:440.12–0.123:220.01–0.430:520.00–0.00
Slavin–Walker1:510.00–0.151:230.00–0.000:380.00–0.001:090.00–0.001:590.00–0.002:430.00–0.030:470.00–0.120:370.00–0.00
Slavin–Chatfield2:560.16–0.020:560.08–0.001:210.09–0.020:400.00–0.00
Burns–Walker1:060.00–0.081:170.00–0.030:310.00–0.001:090.00–0.331:120.00–0.051:050.00–0.00
Chatfield–Walker1:200.00–0.001:010.01–0.211:300.00–0.001:200.10–0.21
Burns–Chatfield0:300.00–0.180:410.02–0.000:320.14–0.000:370.00–0.280:400.13–0.00
Burns–Gostisbehere1:120.00–0.120:540.00–0.060:320.00–0.00
Gostisbehere–Slavin0:410.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FSvechnikov FMartinook FAho FRantanen FJarvis FBlake FHall FKotkaniemi FJost FRoslovic FRobinson FChatfield DWalker DBurns DSlavin DGostisbehere DStillman DKochetkov GTufte FCoyle FLindholm FZacha FGeekie FPastrnak FKoepke FPoitras FLettieri FBeecher FKastelic FBrown FCarlo DZadorov DLohrei DPeeke DMitchell DWotherspoon DKorpisalo G
CARBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Sean WalkerCAR3024:200:491:5133
Jaccob SlavinCAR2523:530:572:2525
Brent BurnsCAR3023:100:461:4828
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2422:310:561:5635
Sebastian AhoCAR2422:160:562:0953
Nikita ZadorovBOS3021:550:441:3132
Seth JarvisCAR2521:520:521:2254
Brandon CarloBOS3020:580:421:1433
Andrew PeekeBOS2720:580:471:2942
Mikko RantanenCAR2320:470:542:0252
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2920:260:421:4004
David PastrnakBOS2319:560:521:2961
Mason LohreiBOS2919:520:411:3290
Pavel ZachaBOS2619:490:461:3563
Parker WotherspoonBOS2318:570:491:2343
Morgan GeekieBOS2217:590:491:2561
Charlie CoyleBOS2817:220:371:1053
Elias LindholmBOS2317:170:452:0452
Jordan StaalCAR2417:100:431:2305
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2215:570:441:4034
Jordan MartinookCAR2415:540:401:1605
Riley TufteBOS2114:460:421:1241
Jackson BlakeCAR1914:390:461:3855
John BeecherBOS2014:110:431:1505
Ian MitchellBOS1913:570:441:2342
Taylor HallCAR1713:370:481:1436
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1612:510:481:2856
Matthew PoitrasBOS1712:470:451:2670
Mark KastelicBOS1711:420:411:3302
Vinni LettieriBOS1410:560:471:1560
Patrick BrownBOS1710:430:381:1203
Cole KoepkeBOS1710:140:360:5460
Eric RobinsonCAR149:490:421:0624
Jack RoslovicCAR149:430:421:0843
Tyson JostCAR106:470:411:0523
Riley StillmanCAR10:180:180:1800