Sun, Mar 9, 2025·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 76% of the time.
67%
9%
17%
MIN winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:54 | 0.09 | 13.7% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:18 | 0.01 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.06 | 36.6% | +15.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.81 | 17.3% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.00 | 31.0% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.10 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.00 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.08 | 32.2% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:55 | 0.37 | 35.4% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.10 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.16 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.01 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.01 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:01 | 0.09 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.01 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:17 | 0.05 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:53 | 0.02 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 3.47 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 27:30 | 0.33 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 25:10 | 1.18 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 24:13 | 0.57 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.30 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.02 | 82.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:22 | 0.07 | 79.0% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.29 | 77.0% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:03 | 0.30 | 79.6% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.09 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.15 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.12 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.01 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.01 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:00 | 0.03 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:39 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:10 | 0.00 | 9.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.25 | −0.7 | 57:35 |