Tue, Mar 11, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Ottawa Senators 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 76% of the time.
16%
69%
PHI winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.01 | 48.4% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.32 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.00 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.12 | 71.7% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.23 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.29 | 84.9% | +21.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:23 | 0.52 | 76.6% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 67.6% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:49 | 1.62 | 49.8% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:10 | 0.28 | 82.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.02 | 79.2% | +21.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.14 | 45.8% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.00 | 86.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 82.3% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.17 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.00 | 14.4% | +26.7 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.25 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 45.9% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.08 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:57 | 0.15 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.13 | 44.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:13 | 0.51 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.04 | 45.2% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.01 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.32 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.05 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:54 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.06 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.39 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.06 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.06 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.20 | 43.8% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:49 | 0.02 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.00 | 70.8% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:08 | 0.12 | 70.8% | +22.9 |
| L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.13 | −1.9 | 56:57 |