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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:00Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Benoit)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Tanev, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander · FLA Schmidt, Jones, Greer, Gadjovich, Sturm

  3. P1 3:02Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  4. P1 3:30Shot by Barkov, saved by Stolarz
  5. P1 3:54Schmidt: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Domi, Benoit, McMann · FLA Schmidt, Verhaeghe, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  6. P1 3:54Domi: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Domi, Benoit, McMann · FLA Schmidt, Verhaeghe, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  7. P1 4:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky
  8. P1 6:16Shot by Sturm, saved by Stolarz
  9. P1 6:27Shot by Mikkola, saved by Stolarz
  10. P1 6:34Shot by Mikkola, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 6:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Bobrovsky
  12. P1 9:53Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Stolarz
  13. P1 11:47Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  14. P1 11:54Kampf: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, McMann · FLA Kulikov, Forsling, Gadjovich, Luostarinen, Sturm

  15. P1 13:21Shot by Barkov, saved by Stolarz4v5
  16. P1 15:02Shot by Balinskis, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 15:49Shot by Laughton, saved by Bobrovsky
  18. P1 16:05Shot by Jones, saved by Stolarz
  19. P1 17:04Shot by Bennett, saved by Stolarz
  20. P1 17:16Ekman-Larsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Benoit · FLA Schmidt, Bennett, Rodrigues, Samoskevich, Balinskis

  21. P1 17:50Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Stolarz4v5
  22. P1 17:51Goal by Bennett (Samoskevich, Reinhart)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews · FLA Barkov, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich

  23. P1 18:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:28Shot by Laughton, saved by Bobrovsky
  27. P2 2:45Shot by Sturm, saved by Stolarz
  28. P2 2:46Shot by Greer, saved by Stolarz
  29. P2 2:49Greer: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg · FLA Jones, Reinhart, Forsling, Greer, Sturm

  30. P2 3:50Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  31. P2 5:56Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Stolarz
  32. P2 6:00Shot by Luostarinen, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 6:33Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Stolarz
  34. P2 6:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky
  35. P2 7:57Bennett: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Laughton, Domi, Benoit, McMann · FLA Kulikov, Bennett, Greer, Mikkola, Gadjovich

  36. P2 10:46Shot by Sturm, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 11:17Shot by Bennett, saved by Stolarz
  38. P2 11:52Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  39. P2 12:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  40. P2 12:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky
  41. P2 13:03Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  42. P2 13:56Goal by Mikkola (Greer)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit · FLA Forsling, Greer, Mikkola, Gadjovich, Sturm

  43. P2 14:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Bobrovsky
  44. P2 15:16McMann: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Marner, Matthews, Knies · FLA Jones, Bennett, Forsling, Rodrigues, Samoskevich

  45. P2 17:13Goal by Bennett (Reinhart, Samoskevich)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Laughton, Carlo, Benoit · FLA Barkov, Jones, Reinhart, Bennett, Samoskevich

  46. P2 18:25Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  47. P2 18:59Shot by Marner, saved by Bobrovsky
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:13Shot by Jones, saved by Stolarz
  51. P3 1:09Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Stolarz
  52. P3 2:03Schmidt: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit · FLA Schmidt, Greer, Gadjovich, Sturm, Balinskis

  53. P3 2:24Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  54. P3 3:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Bobrovsky5v4
  55. P3 4:26Goal by Domi (Jarnkrok, Ekman-Larsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, McCabe, Domi, McMann · FLA Schmidt, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Balinskis

  56. P3 5:23Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Stolarz
  57. P3 5:49Shot by McMann, saved by Bobrovsky
  58. P3 7:16Shot by Holmberg, saved by Bobrovsky
  59. P3 9:26Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  60. P3 9:27Shot by Knies, saved by Bobrovsky
  61. P3 10:40Shot by Jones, saved by Stolarz
  62. P3 14:28Shot by Samoskevich, saved by Stolarz
  63. P3 18:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Bobrovsky6v5
  64. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  65. P3 0:00Final6v5