Thu, Mar 13, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 63% of the time.
53%
9%
9%
28%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Seth JonesD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 27:57 | 0.06 | 26.6% | 0.0 |
 Gustav ForslingD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:07 | 0.00 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #13 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +29.1 |
 Niko MikkolaD · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.15 | 66.1% | +25.3 |
 Aleksander BarkovC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.21 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Sam BennettC · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.65 | 45.3% | +29.1 |
 Dmitry KulikovD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.04 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Mackie SamoskevichRW · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.33 | 44.2% | +29.1 |
 Anton LundellC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Eetu LuostarinenC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.02 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
 Carter VerhaegheC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.05 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.08 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Jesper BoqvistC · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Uvis BalinskisD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.06 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
 Nate SchmidtD · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
 Nico SturmC · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:14 | 0.13 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 A.J. GreerLW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.09 | 63.5% | +25.3 |
 Jonah GadjovichLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:24 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
 Sergei Bobrovsky#72 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.05 | 80.5% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.68 | 85.7% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.04 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:25 | 0.72 | 73.7% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.05 | 58.3% | +16.2 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.11 | 36.5% | +9.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:27 | 0.40 | 47.3% | +9.5 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.10 | 53.7% | +16.2 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 43.9% | +16.2 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.25 | 78.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 10.8% | +9.5 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.02 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.11 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.05 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.93 | −1.1 | 58:06 |