Sat, Mar 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.
51%
11%
9%
28%
BUF winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 28:05 | 0.01 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:04 | 0.53 | 71.5% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.09 | 50.2% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.10 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.02 | 56.2% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.26 | 75.7% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.26 | 63.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 25.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.12 | 25.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.04 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.20 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.20 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.03 | 37.5% | +17.0 |
| O | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.49 | −0.5 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 26:48 | 0.27 | 36.5% | +51.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:54 | 0.01 | 66.0% | +67.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:16 | 0.15 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 22:57 | 0.38 | 16.1% | +51.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.19 | 68.8% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:12 | 0.37 | 74.2% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.02 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.24 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.04 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.03 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.04 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.01 | 65.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:52 | 0.06 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.16 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 86.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:57 | 0.12 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:04 | 0.27 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:08 | 0.13 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 16 | 3 | .842 | 1.87 | −1.1 | 63:33 |