Sat, Mar 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 62% of the time.
51%
11%
9%
28%
BUF winsVGK wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Saad–Hertl–Dorofeyev | Stone–Barbashev–Eichel | Pearson–Kolesar–Howden | Smith–Olofsson–Roy | Stone–Olofsson–Eichel | Smith–Pearson–Roy | Barbashev–Kolesar–Howden | Smith–Stone–Roy | Olofsson–Eichel–Kolesar | Pearson–Barbashev–Howden | Saad–Kolesar–Howden | Smith–Stone–Eichel | Pearson–Hertl–Dorofeyev | Hanifin–Whitecloud | Pietrangelo–Hague | McNabb–Korczak | McNabb–Hanifin | Hague–Whitecloud | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–McLeod–Benson | 3:100.21–0.00 | 1:340.04–0.08 | 2:340.07–0.00 | 0:330.14–0.00 | 4:040.07–0.04 | 4:200.03–0.04 | 2:260.28–0.08 | 0:520.14–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Thompson | 0:520.03–0.00 | 2:240.01–0.16 | 2:470.00–0.12 | 2:030.00–0.19 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 9:020.02–0.27 | 1:320.03–0.16 | 0:330.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.14 | 1:390.23–0.01 | 0:360.02–0.00 | 2:590.13–0.03 | 3:220.25–0.14 | ||||||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Kulich | 0:310.02–0.00 | 1:450.04–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 2:540.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 1:180.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | 2:370.06–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs | 1:020.03–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.03 | 0:470.03–0.00 | 1:430.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Zucker–Greenway–McLeod | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.04 | ||||||||||||||||
| McLeod–Quinn–Benson | 0:560.12–0.00 | 1:040.12–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Thompson | ||||||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 1:220.00–0.04 | 2:160.02–0.25 | 0:370.06–0.00 | 2:520.00–0.05 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.08 | 0:390.00–0.14 | 0:330.14–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | 9:300.10–0.33 | 1:260.02–0.20 | 2:370.10–0.05 | 0:340.14–0.00 | |||||
| Bryson–Byram | 2:360.18–0.00 | 1:430.04–0.04 | 2:570.00–0.12 | 1:070.03–0.03 | 0:300.23–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.11 | 5:550.07–0.19 | 3:320.04–0.12 | 4:000.48–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Clifton–Power | 3:420.11–0.01 | 1:540.00–0.14 | 2:110.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.02 | 1:540.00–0.01 | 6:390.26–0.03 | 3:430.00–0.14 | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.04 | 1:150.05–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.12 | |||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:170.05–0.12 | |||||||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:560.12–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:040.12–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 0:550.03–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:190.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 0:340.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Noah HanifinVGK | 27 | 28:05 | 1:02 | 1:55 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 26:48 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 6 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 23:54 | 0:57 | 2:33 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 30 | 23:16 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 4 | 4 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 24 | 23:04 | 0:58 | 1:58 | 5 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 29 | 22:57 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 4 | 3 |
 Mark StoneVGK | 23 | 22:28 | 0:59 | 1:52 | 4 | 5 |
 Zach WhitecloudVGK | 25 | 22:16 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 29 | 22:05 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 5 | 4 |
 Alex PietrangeloVGK | 27 | 20:58 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 3 | 6 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 26 | 20:12 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 6 | 3 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 20 | 19:50 | 1:00 | 2:15 | 3 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 19:48 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 26 | 19:18 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 23 | 18:16 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 1 | 4 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 22 | 17:19 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 2 | 5 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 26 | 17:09 | 0:40 | 1:56 | 4 | 3 |
 Nicolas HagueVGK | 24 | 17:01 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 2 | 5 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 23 | 16:30 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 |
 Nicolas RoyVGK | 20 | 16:02 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 0 | 5 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 20 | 15:28 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 |
 Brett HowdenVGK | 20 | 15:10 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 1 | 5 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 20 | 15:06 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 19 | 15:01 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 3 | 5 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 21 | 14:52 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 3 | 1 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 19 | 14:31 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 3 | 4 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 15 | 12:56 | 0:52 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonVGK | 17 | 12:54 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 17 | 12:34 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 19 | 12:21 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 3 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 12:09 | 0:38 | 1:09 | 6 | 1 |
 Tanner PearsonVGK | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 9:57 | 0:35 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 16 | 9:04 | 0:34 | 0:58 | 3 | 1 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 10 | 8:08 | 0:49 | 2:18 | 5 | 0 |