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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 17, 2025·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 3, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zucker–McLeod–BensonTuch–Greenway–ThompsonMurray–Krebs–QuinnLafferty–Malenstyn–KozakTuch–Thompson–KrebsMalenstyn–Krebs–QuinnSamuelsson–DahlinByram–PowerClifton–BrysonBryson–ByramClifton–PowerDahlin–ByramBryson–PowerSamuelsson–PowerSamuelsson–Byram
Pastrnak–Zacha–Geekie4:210.29–0.133:110.07–0.101:030.40–0.001:220.06–0.064:010.18–0.113:110.07–0.060:540.00–0.031:010.40–0.00
Lettieri–Mittelstadt–Koepke1:510.00–0.041:230.00–0.002:520.00–0.010:320.00–0.001:020.00–0.002:410.07–0.002:130.00–0.001:530.00–0.040:440.00–0.000:300.00–0.01
Brown–Kastelic–Beecher1:590.00–0.110:330.00–0.052:060.00–0.031:110.02–0.000:330.00–0.001:550.00–0.130:360.00–0.050:400.00–0.001:410.02–0.001:010.00–0.01
Lindholm–Lauko–Khusnutdinov1:300.09–0.050:550.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:380.10–0.122:060.00–0.090:350.01–0.091:050.00–0.001:130.11–0.00
Pastrnak–Geekie–Mittelstadt0:430.00–0.001:010.00–0.020:300.00–0.03
Lindholm–Pastrnak–Geekie0:340.00–0.000:330.14–0.000:550.00–0.030:330.14–0.000:300.00–0.00
Zacha–Lauko–Khusnutdinov0:320.00–0.000:360.10–0.001:120.10–0.00
Zadorov–Jokiharju2:250.09–0.007:200.17–0.291:010.00–0.021:250.06–0.036:230.24–0.063:170.07–0.181:470.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:330.09–0.00
Peeke–Lohrei4:500.12–0.183:080.40–0.022:410.11–0.123:470.20–0.181:300.00–0.002:430.01–0.151:330.40–0.001:380.02–0.010:370.00–0.01
Wotherspoon–Mitchell2:000.00–0.154:150.00–0.021:480.01–0.050:430.00–0.000:560.00–0.004:390.00–0.141:590.00–0.071:260.00–0.000:420.01–0.000:330.00–0.000:370.31–0.00
Wotherspoon–Peeke0:410.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Lohrei0:450.08–0.000:500.00–0.030:340.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Jokiharju0:480.18–0.000:310.00–0.00
Zadorov–Peeke0:320.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Lohrei0:530.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Mitchell–Lohrei0:400.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBeecher FBrown FKastelic FGeekie FPastrnak FZacha FLindholm FKhusnutdinov FLauko FMittelstadt FLettieri FKoepke FLohrei DPeeke DZadorov DJokiharju DMitchell DWotherspoon DKorpisalo GMalenstyn FKozak FLafferty FThompson FGreenway FTuch FBenson FZucker FMcLeod FKrebs FMurray FQuinn FPower DClifton DSamuelsson DDahlin DByram DBryson DLuukkonen G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2924:330:512:0382
Bowen ByramBUF2724:010:531:5855
Ryan McLeodBUF2723:570:532:0766
Henri JokiharjuBOS3022:410:451:3135
Owen PowerBUF3122:410:441:2253
Andrew PeekeBOS3322:360:411:1848
Nikita ZadorovBOS2922:270:461:3136
Alex TuchBUF2922:200:462:0272
Tage ThompsonBUF2521:150:512:1572
Mason LohreiBOS2621:110:492:3633
David PastrnakBOS2320:510:542:0471
Morgan GeekieBOS2120:330:592:0461
Pavel ZachaBOS2820:260:441:2975
Jason ZuckerBUF2420:120:511:5074
Parker WotherspoonBOS2819:550:431:3212
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2619:060:441:1671
Elias LindholmBOS2718:540:422:0439
Casey MittelstadtBOS2018:230:552:0431
Peyton KrebsBUF2217:260:481:2371
Zach BensonBUF2217:030:471:1644
Jacob BrysonBUF2416:380:421:5113
Ian MitchellBOS2216:180:441:3411
Cole KoepkeBOS2215:140:421:3600
Jack QuinnBUF2014:480:441:2370
Connor CliftonBUF2114:200:411:4301
Vinni LettieriBOS1813:580:471:3230
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS1712:430:451:2510
Jordan GreenwayBUF2012:140:371:0134
Beck MalenstynBUF1811:480:391:4711
Jakub LaukoBOS1611:390:441:2302
Brett MurrayBUF1511:200:451:2350
John BeecherBOS2011:080:330:5506
Mark KastelicBOS1810:200:341:0108
Tyson KozakBUF1910:070:321:0111
Patrick BrownBOS1610:050:380:5805
Sam LaffertyBUF178:360:301:0511