Tue, Mar 18, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Ottawa Senators 3, Montréal Canadiens 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 86% of the time.
80%
10%
MTL winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:49 | 0.02 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:08 | 0.03 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.09 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:02 | 0.11 | 37.1% | +56.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.17 | 58.7% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.25 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.38 | 22.5% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 16:38 | 0.71 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.38 | 23.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 33.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 28.3% | +32.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.27 | 45.1% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.04 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.02 | 20.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.73 | −0.3 | 58:29 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:17 | 0.10 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.07 | 80.5% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:49 | 0.77 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.07 | 58.0% | +35.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.57 | 73.4% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.33 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.07 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.22 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.30 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.68 | 62.6% | +40.8 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.18 | 57.3% | +50.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.09 | 58.9% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.07 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 12:24 | 1.05 | 66.9% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.27 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:11 | 0.14 | 48.4% | +34.4 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 60:00 |