Tue, Mar 18, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Detroit Red Wings 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 64% of the time.
55%
8%
29%
WSH winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:06 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.15 | 54.7% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.05 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.01 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.51 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.30 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.32 | 57.5% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.12 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:00 | 0.47 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.33 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.11 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.13 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.01 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.08 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.16 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.07 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 3.68 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.13 | 60.9% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.17 | 51.2% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.11 | 47.5% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.17 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.01 | 58.3% | +10.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.34 | 60.1% | +10.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.15 | 52.6% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.41 | 52.2% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.47 | 52.7% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.03 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.66 | 54.1% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.14 | 56.7% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.15 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.10 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.65 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.85 | +1.8 | 60:00 |