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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 67% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Wedgewood
  3. P1 0:15Shot by Kleven, saved by Wedgewood
  4. P1 1:56Shot by Chabot, saved by Wedgewood
  5. P1 2:14Shot by Giroux, saved by Wedgewood
  6. P1 3:15Shot by Kleven, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 5:04Shot by Kelly, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 6:33Shot by Greig, saved by Wedgewood
  9. P1 6:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Nelson, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 7:59Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 9:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 9:46Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 10:29Goal by MacKinnon (Drouin, Makar)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  15. P1 11:28Goal by Nelson (Malinski, Necas)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Lindgren, Necas, Malinski

  16. P1 12:01Shot by Gaudette, saved by Wedgewood
  17. P1 14:13Greig: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig, Zub · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Lindgren, Necas, Makar

  18. P1 14:23Goal by Makar (Drouin, Nichushkin)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar

  19. P1 16:01Shot by Necas, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 16:34Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 17:23Shot by Makar, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 17:29Goal by Kiviranta (Colton, Coyle)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Perron, Hamonic, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · COL Coyle, Lindgren, Colton, Kiviranta, Malinski

  23. P1 18:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 19:54Cozens: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Tkachuk, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor

  25. P1 19:56Shot by Necas, saved by Forsberg4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:23Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  29. P2 1:54Goal by Nelson (Lehkonen, Colton)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Highmore, Chabot, Pinto · COL Coyle, Nelson, Lehkonen, Toews, Colton

  30. P2 4:46Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Forsberg
  31. P2 5:58Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  32. P2 7:20Shot by Necas, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 7:28Shot by Makar, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 8:46Shot by Drury, saved by Forsberg
  35. P2 9:32Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 10:23Shot by Middleton, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 11:14Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  38. P2 13:04Perron: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Highmore, Gaudette, Kleven, Matinpalo · COL Lindgren, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor, Malinski

  39. P2 13:04Malinski: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Highmore, Gaudette, Kleven, Matinpalo · COL Lindgren, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor, Malinski

  40. P2 13:52Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood4v4
  41. P2 15:55Shot by Kelly, saved by Forsberg
  42. P2 16:47Shot by Drury, saved by Forsberg
  43. P2 17:31Shot by Makar, saved by Forsberg5v6
  44. P2 17:35Pinto: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Toews, Necas, Makar

  45. P2 18:31Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Forsberg4v5
  46. P2 19:40Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:47Shot by Toews, saved by Forsberg
  50. P3 1:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Wedgewood
  51. P3 1:51Perron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Hamonic, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, Toews, Middleton, Necas

  52. P3 2:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg4v5
  53. P3 5:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  54. P3 8:26Drury: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Highmore, Gaudette, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, Drury, O'Connor

  55. P3 10:42Shot by Drury, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 10:54Shot by Kelly, saved by Forsberg
  57. P3 12:03Shot by Batherson, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 15:11Middleton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Highmore, Gaudette, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · COL Johnson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Middleton

  59. P3 15:59Goal by Cozens (Stützle, Sanderson)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle · COL Johnson, Lindgren, Drury, O'Connor

  60. P3 17:07Shot by Johnson, saved by Forsberg
  61. P3 18:19Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Forsberg
  62. P3 18:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final