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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 67% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kelly–Drury–O'ConnorMacKinnon–Drouin–NichushkinNelson–Lehkonen–NecasCoyle–Colton–KivirantaToews–MakarLindgren–MalinskiJohnson–MiddletonMiddleton–MalinskiJohnson–Lindgren
Perron–Batherson–Cozens0:570.00–0.002:340.04–0.002:260.00–0.300:590.00–0.153:310.04–0.160:320.10–0.001:000.00–0.00
Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle1:030.00–0.061:130.00–0.000:480.00–0.001:580.01–0.001:420.01–0.003:010.00–0.000:550.06–0.06
Amadio–Pinto–Greig4:430.32–0.224:270.32–0.22
Highmore–Gaudette–Zetterlund2:110.00–0.100:520.04–0.020:430.00–0.000:520.00–0.050:330.00–0.00
Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle0:310.07–0.000:520.00–0.430:550.00–0.001:500.07–0.070:310.00–0.00
Highmore–Gaudette–Pinto1:240.01–0.000:340.00–0.001:220.01–0.00
Zetterlund–Batherson–Cozens1:160.00–0.12
Giroux–Amadio–Greig0:420.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:500.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Tkachuk–Greig–Stützle1:360.00–0.021:230.00–0.02
Amadio–Tkachuk–Stützle0:510.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Sanderson–Zub1:110.00–0.006:510.07–0.272:090.10–0.081:330.00–0.026:130.23–0.311:570.07–0.003:490.10–0.151:040.00–0.02
Kleven–Matinpalo5:200.13–0.101:360.00–0.002:300.04–0.000:420.00–0.095:290.07–0.052:090.05–0.001:310.04–0.00
Hamonic–Chabot1:070.00–0.001:560.00–0.004:180.07–0.452:160.01–0.304:060.01–0.023:280.00–0.211:430.00–0.52
Kleven–Zub1:240.05–0.150:320.00–0.000:420.02–0.000:420.00–0.001:310.06–0.030:430.05–0.15
Chabot–Matinpalo1:470.01–0.061:130.01–0.060:330.10–0.00
Chabot–Zub0:390.25–0.000:480.29–0.000:370.00–0.00
Chabot–Sanderson0:320.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FStützle FGiroux FBatherson FCozens FPerron FPinto FAmadio FGreig FHighmore FGaudette FZetterlund FMatinpalo DKleven DZub DSanderson DHamonic DChabot DUllmark GForsberg GKelly FDrury FO'Connor FDrouin FMacKinnon FNichushkin FNelson FLehkonen FNecas FCoyle FKiviranta FColton FLindgren DMalinski DToews DMakar DJohnson DMiddleton DWedgewood G
OTTCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Artem ZubOTT2627:211:033:2542
Jake SandersonOTT2423:410:592:0734
Thomas ChabotOTT2621:150:491:2723
Cale MakarCOL2121:081:001:4721
Devon ToewsCOL2219:510:541:3061
Ryan LindgrenCOL2719:040:421:2417
Tim StützleOTT2419:000:481:3262
Sam MalinskiCOL2118:150:521:2512
Keaton MiddletonCOL2117:490:511:2702
Erik JohnsonCOL2217:470:491:2605
Nathan MacKinnonCOL1917:330:551:4352
Brady TkachukOTT2317:240:451:1453
Martin NecasCOL1817:230:582:0421
Valeri NichushkinCOL2017:210:521:4362
Jonathan DrouinCOL1916:370:521:5251
Ridly GreigOTT2116:310:471:1206
Fabian ZetterlundOTT2016:030:481:4701
Jack DruryCOL1915:350:491:1201
Dylan CozensOTT2415:260:391:5862
Tyler KlevenOTT2015:260:461:5821
Logan O'ConnorCOL2115:210:441:1121
Shane PintoOTT2115:170:441:1616
Travis HamonicOTT2215:110:411:3024
Drake BathersonOTT2014:470:442:0971
Artturi LehkonenCOL1714:390:521:1530
Brock NelsonCOL1814:350:491:2732
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT2114:340:421:1801
Parker KellyCOL2014:130:431:2220
Charlie CoyleCOL1913:380:431:0633
David PerronOTT1812:590:431:1811
Ross ColtonCOL1712:590:461:1432
Michael AmadioOTT1412:330:541:2911
Matthew HighmoreOTT2012:120:371:2513
Claude GirouxOTT1912:090:381:2515
Joel KivirantaCOL1611:330:430:5814
Adam GaudetteOTT1510:010:401:0111