Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 67% of the time.
23%
10%
8%
58%
OTT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:08 | 0.26 | 47.8% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 55.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.06 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:47 | 0.07 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:33 | 0.17 | 44.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.11 | 69.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.21 | 34.3% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.07 | 50.8% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.23 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.10 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.43 | 55.3% | +2.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.33 | 58.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.26 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.09 | 65.2% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.05 | 72.2% | +9.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:33 | 0.27 | 55.9% | +6.3 |
| W | 16 | 15 | 1 | .938 | 1.77 | +0.8 | 59:51 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 27:21 | 0.04 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:41 | 0.05 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.04 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.05 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.23 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.12 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.04 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:26 | 0.24 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.27 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.34 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.17 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.02 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.10 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 1.52 | +0.5 | 42:31 | |
| L | 13 | 9 | 4 | .692 | 1.18 | −2.8 | 17:29 |