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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 20, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Buffalo Sabres 2, Utah Hockey Club 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 73% of the time.

UTA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

UTA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Lafferty–Malenstyn–KozakZucker–Greenway–McLeodTuch–Thompson–PeterkaMurray–Krebs–QuinnThompson–McLeod–PeterkaGreenway–Krebs–QuinnZucker–Tuch–KozakZucker–Thompson–PeterkaByram–PowerClifton–BrysonSamuelsson–DahlinDahlin–ByramSamuelsson–PowerDahlin–PowerSamuelsson–ByramBryson–PowerClifton–Dahlin
Schmaltz–Keller–Cooley4:300.06–0.052:280.60–0.081:130.00–0.001:020.07–0.092:300.00–0.021:570.00–0.002:100.32–0.121:210.07–0.090:570.00–0.000:410.28–0.000:320.10–0.00
Kerfoot–Stenlund–Maccelli2:160.39–0.001:410.31–0.000:550.01–0.001:130.00–0.000:410.13–0.012:490.31–0.021:040.29–0.000:470.00–0.001:090.24–0.011:080.09–0.00
Crouse–McBain–Doan2:200.41–0.221:330.31–0.221:000.08–0.082:180.41–0.121:550.09–0.241:340.31–0.22
Carcone–Hayton–Guenther0:350.02–0.002:310.09–0.080:320.00–0.691:310.05–0.000:310.00–0.000:560.36–0.251:270.07–0.042:140.07–0.022:120.02–0.040:300.00–0.000:370.00–0.05
Marino–Sergachev1:050.01–0.021:030.28–0.003:410.41–0.132:080.31–0.220:300.00–0.093:220.31–0.091:090.00–0.121:420.10–0.172:220.31–0.300:330.00–0.010:390.28–0.000:360.36–0.20
Maatta–Durzi4:070.13–0.041:330.32–0.080:540.25–0.081:090.06–0.000:320.07–0.000:380.00–0.052:160.02–0.012:130.30–0.002:190.33–0.122:150.00–0.050:410.06–0.08
Cole–Kesselring1:490.31–0.003:080.00–0.172:270.00–0.002:230.00–0.062:280.36–0.022:160.00–0.09
Maatta–Kesselring0:400.11–0.000:420.02–0.02
Cole–Marino0:330.09–0.00
Maatta–Marino0:350.03–0.000:390.00–0.000:350.03–0.00
Sergachev–Kesselring0:320.10–0.00
Cole–Durzi0:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Durzi–Kesselring0:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSchmaltz FKeller FCooley FDoan FCrouse FMcBain FCarcone FHayton FGuenther FStenlund FKerfoot FMaccelli FMarino DSergachev DDurzi DMaatta DKesselring DCole DVejmelka GMalenstyn FKozak FLafferty FPeterka FTuch FThompson FZucker FGreenway FMcLeod FQuinn FMurray FKrebs FByram DPower DSamuelsson DDahlin DBryson DClifton DReimer G
UTABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2724:270:542:2436
Mikhail SergachevUTA2824:070:521:3854
Bowen ByramBUF2823:200:501:3744
John MarinoUTA2621:370:501:5224
JJ PeterkaBUF2321:010:551:4744
Tage ThompsonBUF2220:560:571:5833
Owen PowerBUF2620:360:481:2645
Ryan McLeodBUF2820:120:431:4127
Nick SchmaltzUTA2519:270:472:1543
Sean DurziUTA2619:240:451:3122
Logan CooleyUTA2519:230:472:3543
Olli MaattaUTA2619:090:441:1612
Alex TuchBUF2318:330:481:5833
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2517:520:431:3027
Clayton KellerUTA2417:470:442:1151
Ian ColeUTA2016:490:501:5322
Jason ZuckerBUF1916:320:522:2923
Alexander KerfootUTA2215:360:431:4654
Dylan GuentherUTA1914:510:471:4552
Jacob BrysonBUF2414:290:361:0505
Jack McBainUTA2114:260:411:1130
Barrett HaytonUTA1914:110:451:2022
Jordan GreenwayBUF2314:090:371:0426
Connor CliftonBUF2214:090:391:0505
Kevin StenlundUTA2214:030:381:0864
Michael KesselringUTA1813:500:461:0841
Tyson KozakBUF2313:330:351:2715
Beck MalenstynBUF2112:270:361:3605
Sam LaffertyBUF2112:190:351:3815
Josh DoanUTA1912:120:391:0932
Lawson CrouseUTA1911:210:361:0930
Peyton KrebsBUF2111:210:321:2542
Michael CarconeUTA1510:470:431:2421
Matias MaccelliUTA1610:460:401:2531
Jack QuinnBUF179:500:350:5223
Brett MurrayBUF125:550:300:4822