Sat, Mar 22, 2025·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 1, Minnesota Wild 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
MIN winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:37 | 0.12 | 35.0% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 23:41 | 0.09 | 32.2% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.30 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.28 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 63.6% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.21 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.18 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.29 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:26 | 0.07 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.25 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.13 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.01 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:33 | 0.02 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.99 | −1.0 | 57:58 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:55 | 0.04 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:43 | 0.07 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.17 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 63.9% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.20 | 69.9% | +7.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.38 | 73.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 19:17 | 0.38 | 69.8% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.03 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.12 | 56.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.01 | 43.8% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.74 | 45.5% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.12 | 54.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.10 | 32.6% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.02 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:36 | 0.19 | 37.6% | +13.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 59:52 |