Sat, Mar 22, 2025·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 1, Minnesota Wild 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
MIN winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thompson–McLeod–Peterka | Zucker–Tuch–Greenway | Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak | Malenstyn–Krebs–Benson | Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | Zucker–Tuch–Krebs | Tuch–Krebs–Benson | Thompson–Krebs–Peterka | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Clifton–Bryson | Byram–Power | Dahlin–Power | Bernard-Docker–Byram | Dahlin–Bernard-Docker | Samuelsson–Byram | Bernard-Docker–Power | Clifton–Samuelsson | Samuelsson–Bernard-Docker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuccarello–Boldy–Rossi | 7:410.76–0.40 | 1:140.05–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.00 | 2:580.39–0.00 | 2:530.29–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.29 | 1:530.10–0.11 | 0:310.10–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Hinostroza–Hartman–Trenin | 2:200.18–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.12 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.04 | 2:460.18–0.01 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 1:190.12–0.03 | 1:550.00–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.07 | |||||
| Nyquist–Johansson–Gaudreau | 2:080.00–0.06 | 2:110.14–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.02 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 1:440.07–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.06 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gaunce–Shore–Brazeau | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:440.03–0.13 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.04 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Johansson–Zuccarello–Rossi | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.00 | 1:090.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Spurgeon–Brodin | 5:320.71–0.27 | 2:570.12–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.01 | 1:160.07–0.00 | 2:200.39–0.02 | 3:490.26–0.00 | 3:210.12–0.14 | 1:240.00–0.11 | 1:290.03–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Middleton–Faber | 6:100.33–0.00 | 3:440.08–0.12 | 1:290.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 4:010.00–0.04 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 1:220.17–0.01 | 2:480.10–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 1:280.00–0.11 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Merrill | 1:170.00–0.16 | 2:220.05–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.04 | 2:000.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.27 | 1:440.03–0.00 | 1:240.12–0.03 | 1:250.00–0.02 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Brodin–Middleton | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MINBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 24:37 | 0:57 | 2:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Brock FaberMIN | 28 | 23:55 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 4 | 6 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 28 | 23:41 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 7 | 4 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 29 | 22:43 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 4 | 7 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 26 | 22:42 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 4 | 4 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 30 | 22:07 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 25 | 21:08 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 6 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 20:46 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 6 | 3 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 28 | 20:21 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Mats ZuccarelloMIN | 20 | 20:15 | 1:01 | 2:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Marco RossiMIN | 19 | 20:09 | 1:04 | 1:35 | 5 | 0 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 20:03 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 6 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 19:40 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 5 | 3 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 21 | 19:17 | 0:55 | 1:59 | 5 | 3 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 20 | 17:43 | 0:53 | 2:36 | 3 | 5 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 20 | 16:44 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 23 | 16:26 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Gustav NyquistMIN | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 2 | 5 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 17 | 16:04 | 0:57 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 21 | 16:01 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 1 | 6 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 15:17 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaMIN | 19 | 14:48 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianMIN | 20 | 14:34 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Frederick GaudreauMIN | 20 | 14:32 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 6 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 19 | 14:21 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 21 | 12:56 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 1 | 5 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 20 | 12:51 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 0 | 8 |
 Jon MerrillMIN | 18 | 12:30 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 17 | 12:09 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerBUF | 20 | 11:29 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 14 | 10:52 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Brendan GaunceMIN | 12 | 9:06 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Devin ShoreMIN | 12 | 7:56 | 0:40 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Justin BrazeauMIN | 11 | 7:36 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 10 | 7:33 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 1 | 2 |