Sat, Mar 22, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Calgary Flames 4, New York Islanders 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
26%
NYI winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 26:38 | 0.32 | 40.2% | +109.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 23:23 | 0.60 | 39.0% | +53.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 23:09 | 0.36 | 48.2% | +69.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.04 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.12 | 37.6% | +38.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.16 | 48.0% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:32 | 0.07 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:18 | 0.10 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.29 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.01 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 5:56 | 0.08 | 2.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:16 | 0.00 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:11 | 0.00 | 6.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.31 | +0.3 | 63:46 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:19 | 0.11 | 38.3% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:04 | 0.00 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.36 | 81.7% | +52.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:32 | 0.15 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.21 | 53.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.20 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.16 | 56.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:34 | 0.29 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.22 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.33 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.08 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.31 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.14 | 86.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 11:53 | 0.29 | 68.8% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.13 | 66.7% | +52.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.10 | 69.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.21 | 87.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 2.36 | −1.6 | 63:53 |